Mexico · Liga MX

Atlas vs Club Queretaro

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Atlas 35.5% Draw 22.7% Club Queretaro 41.8%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlas: 12 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Atlas

W W L W W L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Club Queretaro

L D W W L

Form 2-1-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlas win35.5%

Draw22.7%

Club Queretaro win41.8%

Over 1.5 goals91.4%

Over 2.5 goals75.4%

Over 3.5 goals55.7%

Both teams to score75.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.2%

Both Halves Over 0.573.6%

Goal in Both Halves73.6%

Draw or Away (X2)63.5%

Home or Draw (1X)57.2%

Draw No Bet - Away54.0%

Draw No Bet - Home46.0%

Away Win42.8%

Home Win36.4%

Draw20.8%

Exactly 1 Goal7.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.4%

Under 5.5 Goals79.3%

Over 2.5 Goals75.4%

Under 4.5 Goals63.9%

Over 3.5 Goals55.6%

4+ Goals55.6%

2-4 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals44.4%

1-3 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals39.3%

Over 4.5 Goals36.1%

2-3 Goals34.8%

Under 2.5 Goals24.6%

1-2 Goals22.6%

Over 5.5 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.0%

Under 1.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.2%

Home Team to Score84.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.0%

Away Clean Sheet15.1%

Away Win to Nil13.1%

Home Clean Sheet12.8%

Home Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.2%

Home Over 0.584.9%

Away Over 1.560.9%

Home Over 1.556.4%

Away Over 2.533.8%

Away 3+ Goals33.8%

Home Over 2.529.4%

Home 3+ Goals29.4%

Home Exactly 128.5%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.3%

Home Exactly 015.1%

Away Exactly 012.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 212.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.4%

Away to win by 3+11.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.5%

Home to win by 3+8.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.5%

Away & Over 2.534.7%

Away & BTTS29.6%

Home & Over 2.529.3%

Home & BTTS25.6%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.1%

Away & No BTTS13.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

Home & No BTTS10.9%

Draw & Under 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Under 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.1%

HT Over 1.553.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.547.0%

HT Away Win35.5%

HT Both Teams Score34.6%

HT Draw33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win31.4%

HT/FT Away/Away26.7%

HT/FT Home/Home22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT Under 0.516.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions