Mexico · Liga MX

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas

● LIVE 45' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Atlas 11.1% Draw 17.2% Guadalajara Chivas 71.7%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Guadalajara Chivas: 7 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Atlas

L L D L W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Guadalajara Chivas

D W W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlas win11.1%

Draw17.2%

Guadalajara Chivas win71.7%

Over 1.5 goals89.5%

Over 2.5 goals71.9%

Over 3.5 goals51.1%

Both teams to score60.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

88.5%

Draw or Away (X2)

87.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.9%

Draw No Bet - Away85.8%

Home or Away (12)84.4%

Away Win72.4%

Both Halves Over 0.570.9%

Goal in Both Halves70.9%

Home or Draw (1X)27.4%

Draw15.4%

Draw No Bet - Home14.2%

Home Win11.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.5%

Under 5.5 Goals82.8%

Over 2.5 Goals71.8%

Under 4.5 Goals68.3%

2-4 Goals56.8%

Over 3.5 Goals51.0%

4+ Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals49.0%

1-3 Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.4%

Over 4.5 Goals31.7%

Under 2.5 Goals28.2%

1-2 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.8%

Over 5.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 2 Goals16.7%

Under 1.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.1%

Home Team to Score64.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.1%

Away Clean Sheet35.6%

Away Win to Nil33.2%

Home Clean Sheet6.7%

Home Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.1%

Away Over 1.574.9%

Home Over 0.564.2%

Away Over 2.550.4%

Away 3+ Goals50.4%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 035.6%

Home Over 1.527.5%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 118.1%

Home Over 2.58.6%

Home 3+ Goals8.6%

Away Exactly 06.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)72.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away31.4%

Away to win by 3+31.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 220.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.9%

Home to win by 17.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.9%

Home to win by 22.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.1%

Home to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.557.2%

BTTS & Over 2.553.2%

Away & BTTS39.2%

Away & No BTTS33.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.6%

Away & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

Home & Over 2.58.2%

Home & BTTS7.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Home & No BTTS4.3%

Home & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.3%

HT Away Win55.1%

HT/FT Away/Away50.4%

HT Over 1.550.0%

HT Under 1.550.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw30.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half21.2%

HT Under 0.518.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Home Win14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Home/Home6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions