Mexico · Liga MX

Atlas vs Monterrey

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Atlas 48.5% Draw 16.4% Monterrey 35.1%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 92%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 41%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Atlas win at 48.5%.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Atlas win

48.5%

1X2 model probability

Draw

16.4%

1X2 model probability

Monterrey win

35.1%

1X2 model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

41%

Market does not fully agree

Atlas

W W L L

Form 2-0-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Monterrey

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlas win48.5%

Draw16.4%

Monterrey win35.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.5%

Over 3.5 goals88.3%

Both teams to score92.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.8%

Goal in Both Halves

91.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.8%

Goal in Both Halves91.8%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)63.9%

Draw No Bet - Home58.0%

Draw or Away (X2)50.6%

Home Win48.1%

Draw No Bet - Away42.0%

Away Win34.8%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.3%

Over 3.5 Goals87.2%

4+ Goals87.2%

Over 4.5 Goals75.8%

Over 5.5 Goals61.1%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals38.9%

Under 4.5 Goals24.2%

2-4 Goals21.8%

3-4 Goals18.5%

Under 3.5 Goals12.8%

1-3 Goals11.4%

2-3 Goals10.4%

Exactly 3 Goals7.1%

Under 2.5 Goals5.7%

1-2 Goals4.3%

Exactly 2 Goals3.3%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score93.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%

Home Clean Sheet4.9%

Home Win to Nil4.8%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 0.593.8%

Home Over 1.584.6%

Away Over 1.579.0%

Home Over 2.565.8%

Home 3+ Goals65.8%

Away Over 2.556.8%

Away 3+ Goals56.8%

Away Exactly 222.2%

Home Exactly 218.8%

Away Exactly 114.8%

Home Exactly 110.9%

Away Exactly 04.9%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.5%

Home to win by 3+19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 113.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.0%

Home to win by 213.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%

Away to win by 3+11.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 29.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.1%

Home & Over 2.546.6%

Home & BTTS43.3%

Away & Over 2.533.6%

Away & BTTS31.8%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS4.8%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.5%

HT Over 1.578.6%

HT Both Teams Score58.4%

2nd Half More Goals52.0%

HT Home Win42.2%

HT Away Win33.2%

HT/FT Home/Home32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.6%

HT/FT Away/Away22.3%

HT Under 1.521.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT Under 0.55.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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