Mexico · Liga MX

Atlas vs Puebla

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Oct 26

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Atlas 28.3% Draw 29.7% Puebla 42.0%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlas: 5 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Atlas

L W D L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Puebla

L D D D D L

Form 0-4-2 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlas win28.3%

Draw29.7%

Puebla win42.0%

Over 1.5 goals73.6%

Over 2.5 goals46.5%

Over 3.5 goals25.0%

Both teams to score52.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

88.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.5%

Draw or Away (X2)70.1%

Draw No Bet - Away59.3%

Home or Draw (1X)56.4%

Both Halves Over 0.551.1%

Goal in Both Halves51.1%

Away Win43.6%

Draw No Bet - Home40.7%

Home Win29.9%

Draw26.5%

Exactly 1 Goal20.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.6%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.7%

Under 3.5 Goals75.0%

Over 1.5 Goals72.0%

1-3 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 2.5 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.1%

Under 1.5 Goals28.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Over 3.5 Goals25.0%

4+ Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.9%

Over 5.5 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score75.6%

Home Team to Score67.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.0%

Away Clean Sheet32.6%

Away Win to Nil24.6%

Home Clean Sheet24.4%

Home Win to Nil16.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.575.6%

Home Over 0.567.4%

Away Over 1.541.2%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Home Exactly 032.6%

Home Over 1.530.9%

Away Exactly 024.4%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Over 2.516.9%

Away 3+ Goals16.9%

Home Over 2.510.4%

Home 3+ Goals10.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.8%

Away to win by 122.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.9%

Away to win by 3+7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.6%

Home to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.9%

BTTS & Over 2.538.4%

Away & No BTTS24.6%

Away & Over 2.524.5%

Draw & Under 2.520.5%

Away & Under 2.519.1%

Away & BTTS19.0%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Home & No BTTS16.4%

Home & Over 2.516.0%

Home & Under 2.513.9%

Home & BTTS13.5%

BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.4%

HT Over 0.568.0%

HT Draw43.1%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Away Win32.7%

HT Under 0.532.0%

HT Over 1.531.6%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

HT/FT Away/Away26.0%

HT Home Win24.2%

HT Both Teams Score18.6%

HT/FT Home/Home17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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