Mexico · Liga MX

Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Atlas 31.3% Draw 20.2% U.N.A.M. - Pumas 48.5%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Atlas

L D L W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

L W L D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlas win31.3%

Draw20.2%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win48.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.1%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals67.5%

Both teams to score81.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

92.0%

Away Over 0.5

92.0%

HT Over 0.5

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Draw or Away (X2)67.9%

Draw No Bet - Away60.6%

Home or Draw (1X)50.7%

Away Win49.2%

Draw No Bet - Home39.4%

Home Win31.9%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals83.6%

Under 5.5 Goals68.6%

Over 3.5 Goals67.4%

4+ Goals67.4%

Under 4.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.6%

2-4 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.6%

1-3 Goals31.5%

Over 5.5 Goals31.4%

2-3 Goals26.9%

Under 2.5 Goals16.4%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.0%

Home Team to Score87.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.7%

Away Clean Sheet12.7%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Home Clean Sheet7.9%

Home Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.0%

Home Over 0.587.1%

Away Over 1.572.0%

Home Over 1.560.9%

Away Over 2.546.6%

Away 3+ Goals46.6%

Home Over 2.533.9%

Home 3+ Goals33.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.2%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 120.0%

Home Exactly 012.7%

Away Exactly 07.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.5%

Away to win by 3+16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 114.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 214.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.7%

Home to win by 3+7.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.0%

Away & Over 2.543.4%

Away & BTTS37.4%

Home & Over 2.527.7%

Home & BTTS25.1%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Home & No BTTS6.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

Away & Under 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.2%

HT Away Win40.6%

HT Under 1.538.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Away/Away31.9%

HT Draw30.0%

HT Home Win29.4%

HT/FT Home/Home19.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.9%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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