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Spain · Copa del Rey

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Oct 29
📊 Our Prediction
Home +4.5 (Handicap)
81% confidence
Atletico Calatayud 80.5% Draw 11.7% Osasuna 7.8%
Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 68%
🎯 Best Pick
Home or Draw (1X)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
92%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 2.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
85%
Home Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
81%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
3-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7.7%
Exact-score model probability
Atletico Calatayud
No recent results stored yet
Osasuna
L W L D L L
Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico Calatayud win80.5%
Draw11.7%
Osasuna win7.8%
Over 1.5 goals95.6%
Over 2.5 goals85.4%
Over 3.5 goals69.9%
Both teams to score68.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)
91.9%
Draw No Bet - Home
90.8%
Home or Draw (1X)
90.7%
Match Result (11)
Draw No Bet - Home90.8%
Home or Draw (1X)90.7%
Home or Away (12)88.2%
Both Halves Over 0.582.0%
Goal in Both Halves82.0%
Home Win80.1%
Draw or Away (X2)18.8%
Draw10.6%
Draw No Bet - Away9.2%
Away Win8.2%
Exactly 1 Goal4.0%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.0%
Over 1.5 Goals94.0%
Over 2.5 Goals84.4%
Over 3.5 Goals69.1%
4+ Goals69.1%
Under 5.5 Goals66.6%
Over 4.5 Goals50.9%
Total Goals Even49.5%
Total Goals Odd49.4%
Under 4.5 Goals49.1%
2-4 Goals43.1%
3-4 Goals33.5%
Over 5.5 Goals33.4%
Under 3.5 Goals30.9%
1-3 Goals28.9%
2-3 Goals24.9%
Under 2.5 Goals15.6%
Exactly 3 Goals15.3%
1-2 Goals13.6%
Exactly 2 Goals9.6%
Under 1.5 Goals6.0%
Under 0.5 Goals2.0%
Exactly 0 Goals0.8%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score96.1%
Away Team to Score68.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)66.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)33.2%
Home Clean Sheet30.1%
Home Win to Nil29.3%
Away Clean Sheet2.8%
Away Win to Nil1.9%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.596.1%
Home Over 1.586.2%
Away Over 0.568.7%
Home Over 2.568.4%
Home 3+ Goals68.4%
Away Exactly 135.8%
Away Over 1.532.9%
Away Exactly 030.1%
Away Exactly 221.3%
Home Exactly 217.8%
Away Over 2.511.7%
Away 3+ Goals11.7%
Home Exactly 19.9%
Home Exactly 02.8%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.0%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.7%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.6%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.6%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.1%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.6%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.0%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)45.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home45.4%
Home to win by 3+45.4%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)34.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away34.8%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.2%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.6%
Home to win by 218.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%
Home to win by 116.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.0%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.3%
Away to win by 15.3%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%
Away to win by 22.0%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%
Away to win by 3+0.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
Home & Over 2.571.6%
BTTS & Over 2.563.2%
Home & BTTS50.8%
Home & No BTTS29.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.521.2%
No BTTS & Under 2.510.9%
Draw & BTTS9.8%
Home & Under 2.58.4%
Away & Over 2.56.6%
Draw & Over 2.56.2%
Away & BTTS6.2%
Draw & Under 2.54.4%
BTTS & Under 2.53.6%
Away & No BTTS1.9%
Away & Under 2.51.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.588.4%
HT Home Win64.0%
HT Over 1.563.3%
HT/FT Home/Home60.1%
2nd Half More Goals49.2%
HT Under 1.536.7%
HT Both Teams Score33.2%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Draw24.1%
Equal Goals Each Half18.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%
HT Away Win11.9%
HT Under 0.511.6%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Away/Away4.5%
HT/FT Away/Home4.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away2.7%
HT/FT Home/Away0.9%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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