Brazil · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino

Kick-off 22:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Atletico Paranaense 51.6% Draw 35.1% RB Bragantino 13.3%

Over 2.5 - 21% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 23.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Atletico Paranaense: 14 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.3%

Exact-score model probability

Atletico Paranaense

W D W W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

RB Bragantino

L D D W W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico Paranaense win51.6%

Draw35.1%

RB Bragantino win13.3%

Over 1.5 goals48.3%

Over 2.5 goals21.3%

Over 3.5 goals7.7%

Both teams to score25.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

85.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

85.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

85.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.4%

Draw No Bet - Home78.3%

Home or Away (12)67.6%

Home Win53.0%

Draw or Away (X2)47.0%

Exactly 1 Goal32.5%

Draw32.4%

Both Halves Over 0.529.6%

Goal in Both Halves29.6%

Draw No Bet - Away21.7%

Away Win14.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.4%

Under 4.5 Goals97.7%

Under 3.5 Goals92.3%

Over 0.5 Goals79.5%

Under 2.5 Goals78.7%

1-3 Goals71.8%

1-2 Goals58.2%

Under 1.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even52.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 1.5 Goals47.0%

2-4 Goals44.7%

2-3 Goals39.3%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 2.5 Goals21.3%

Under 0.5 Goals20.5%

Exactly 0 Goals20.5%

3-4 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

Over 3.5 Goals7.7%

4+ Goals7.7%

Over 4.5 Goals2.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.4%

Home Team to Score67.8%

Home Clean Sheet63.8%

Home Win to Nil43.2%

Away Team to Score36.2%

Away Clean Sheet32.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.6%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.567.8%

Away Exactly 063.8%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Away Over 0.536.2%

Home Exactly 032.2%

Home Over 1.531.3%

Away Exactly 128.7%

Home Exactly 220.7%

Home Over 2.510.7%

Home 3+ Goals10.7%

Away Over 1.57.5%

Away Exactly 26.5%

Away Over 2.51.1%

Away 3+ Goals1.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw29.7%

Home to win by 129.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.6%

Home to win by 3+7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.568.3%

Home & No BTTS43.2%

Home & Under 2.536.5%

Draw & Under 2.531.0%

Home & Over 2.516.5%

BTTS & Over 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS11.9%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Home & BTTS9.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

Away & Over 2.53.3%

Away & BTTS3.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.584.0%

HT Draw54.2%

HT Over 0.551.0%

HT Under 0.549.0%

2nd Half More Goals36.9%

Equal Goals Each Half35.4%

HT Home Win34.2%

HT/FT Home/Home30.8%

1st Half More Goals27.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw26.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.0%

HT Over 1.516.0%

HT Away Win11.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.4%

HT Both Teams Score7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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