Mexico · Liga MX

Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Aug 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Atletico San Luis 10.1% Draw 20.4% CF Pachuca 69.5%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to CF Pachuca: 2 points versus 6 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Atletico San Luis

L D D L

Form 0-2-2 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

CF Pachuca

L L L W L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico San Luis win10.1%

Draw20.4%

CF Pachuca win69.5%

Over 1.5 goals80.4%

Over 2.5 goals56.5%

Over 3.5 goals34.1%

Both teams to score47.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

88.9%

Away Over 0.5

88.9%

Draw or Away (X2)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)88.7%

Draw No Bet - Away86.2%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Away Win70.6%

Both Halves Over 0.558.9%

Goal in Both Halves58.9%

Home or Draw (1X)29.4%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal15.5%

Draw No Bet - Home13.8%

Home Win11.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.7%

Under 5.5 Goals92.2%

Under 4.5 Goals82.5%

Over 1.5 Goals79.2%

Under 3.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.7%

Over 2.5 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.2%

Under 2.5 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals38.9%

1-2 Goals38.3%

Over 3.5 Goals34.0%

4+ Goals34.0%

Exactly 2 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.8%

Over 4.5 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals5.3%

Exactly 0 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.2%

Home Team to Score52.6%

Away Clean Sheet47.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.8%

Away Win to Nil42.1%

Home Clean Sheet11.1%

Home Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 1.564.5%

Home Over 0.552.6%

Home Exactly 047.4%

Away Over 2.537.7%

Away 3+ Goals37.7%

Home Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.4%

Home Over 1.517.2%

Home Exactly 213.2%

Away Exactly 011.1%

Home Over 2.54.0%

Home 3+ Goals4.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home53.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.3%

Away to win by 3+25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.0%

Away to win by 124.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.3%

Away to win by 221.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 18.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.5%

Home to win by 22.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.7%

Home to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.546.3%

Away & No BTTS42.1%

BTTS & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.534.9%

Away & BTTS28.4%

Away & Under 2.524.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.3%

Draw & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Home & Over 2.55.9%

Home & No BTTS5.8%

Home & Under 2.55.4%

Home & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.5%

HT Under 1.561.8%

HT Away Win51.5%

HT/FT Away/Away47.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.4%

HT Over 1.538.2%

HT Draw36.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.5%

Equal Goals Each Half24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.4%

HT Both Teams Score17.9%

HT Home Win12.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT/FT Home/Home6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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