Mexico · Liga MX

Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro

● LIVE 45' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Atletico San Luis 7.4% Draw 16.5% Club Queretaro 76.1%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 92.6% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 7.4% on the only losing outcome.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Club Queretaro: 5 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

92.6%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

7.4%

Only the uncovered result loses

Atletico San Luis

D L L W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Club Queretaro

D W W L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico San Luis win7.4%

Draw16.5%

Club Queretaro win76.1%

Over 1.5 goals84.7%

Over 2.5 goals63.4%

Over 3.5 goals41.3%

Both teams to score48.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.6%

Draw No Bet - Away90.3%

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Away Win76.9%

Both Halves Over 0.564.3%

Goal in Both Halves64.3%

Home or Draw (1X)23.0%

Draw14.7%

Exactly 1 Goal12.4%

Draw No Bet - Home9.7%

Home Win8.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals88.8%

Over 1.5 Goals83.7%

Under 4.5 Goals76.9%

Over 2.5 Goals63.4%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 3.5 Goals58.8%

1-3 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.4%

Over 3.5 Goals41.2%

4+ Goals41.2%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.6%

1-2 Goals32.7%

Over 4.5 Goals23.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.3%

Under 1.5 Goals16.3%

Over 5.5 Goals11.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.8%

Home Team to Score51.2%

Away Clean Sheet48.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.2%

Away Win to Nil44.9%

Home Clean Sheet7.8%

Home Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 1.572.2%

Home Over 0.551.2%

Home Exactly 048.7%

Away Over 2.546.8%

Away 3+ Goals46.8%

Home Exactly 135.0%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 119.9%

Home Over 1.516.2%

Home Exactly 212.6%

Away Exactly 07.8%

Home Over 2.53.6%

Home 3+ Goals3.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away55.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.3%

Away to win by 3+33.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.9%

Away to win by 221.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.7%

Away to win by 121.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 16.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.7%

Home to win by 21.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.554.8%

Away & No BTTS44.9%

BTTS & Over 2.540.3%

Away & BTTS32.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.1%

Away & Under 2.522.0%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Home & Over 2.54.6%

Home & BTTS4.3%

Home & No BTTS4.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.9%

Home & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.1%

HT Away Win57.3%

HT Under 1.556.7%

HT/FT Away/Away53.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.5%

HT Over 1.543.3%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Under 0.522.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.2%

HT Both Teams Score18.9%

HT Home Win10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

HT/FT Home/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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