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Mexico · Liga MX

Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana

Full time · 0:0
📊 Our Prediction
Away Win
87% confidence
Atletico San Luis 5.0% Draw 8.0% Club Tijuana 87.0%
Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 67%
✗ Pick missed (0:0)
🎯 Best Pick
Away Win
Strong form
⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 29%
⚠️ AIs disagree
68%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 2.5 Goals
High scoring
85%
Both Teams Score (GG)
Attacking threat
80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Atletico San Luis and Club Tijuana have a significant form gap, with Club Tijuana showing strong attacking threat. Diego Abreu is the most dangerous player for Club Tijuana. Atletico San Luis' defense has been conceding heavily. With Club Tijuana's strong form and Atletico San Luis' defensive issues, the away team is likely to dominate. 5 goals scored.
💡
Top Tip
Club Tijuana is likely to win with over 2
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.
Strong form
Numbers behind this Away Win
Most likely score
0-4
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7.3%
Exact-score model probability
Bookmaker implied chance
29%
Market does not fully agree
Atletico San Luis
D L
Form 0-1-1 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.5
Club Tijuana
W W
Form 2-0-0 Goals 4:1 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico San Luis win5.0%
Draw8.0%
Club Tijuana win87.0%
Over 1.5 goals97.8%
Over 2.5 goals88.0%
Over 3.5 goals80.7%
Both teams to score67.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)
91.7%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)
91.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away
91.7%
Match Result (11)
Draw No Bet - Away95.3%
Draw or Away (X2)91.7%
Home or Away (12)89.5%
Both Halves Over 0.588.0%
Goal in Both Halves88.0%
Away Win85.3%
Home or Draw (1X)10.7%
Draw6.4%
Draw No Bet - Home4.7%
Home Win4.2%
Exactly 1 Goal2.0%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.6%
Over 1.5 Goals93.6%
Over 2.5 Goals88.0%
Over 3.5 Goals77.4%
4+ Goals77.4%
Over 4.5 Goals62.5%
Under 5.5 Goals54.4%
Total Goals Even48.1%
Total Goals Odd47.9%
Over 5.5 Goals45.6%
Under 4.5 Goals37.5%
2-4 Goals31.1%
3-4 Goals25.5%
Under 3.5 Goals22.6%
1-3 Goals18.2%
2-3 Goals16.2%
Under 2.5 Goals12.0%
Exactly 3 Goals10.6%
1-2 Goals7.6%
Under 1.5 Goals6.4%
Exactly 2 Goals5.6%
Under 0.5 Goals4.4%
Exactly 0 Goals0.4%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score94.9%
Home Team to Score65.6%
Both Teams Score (GG)64.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)35.2%
Away Clean Sheet30.4%
Away Win to Nil30.0%
Home Clean Sheet1.1%
Home Win to Nil0.8%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.594.9%
Away Over 1.589.9%
Away Over 2.578.6%
Away 3+ Goals78.6%
Home Over 0.565.6%
Home Exactly 134.9%
Home Over 1.530.6%
Home Exactly 030.4%
Home Exactly 220.1%
Away Exactly 211.2%
Home Over 2.510.5%
Home 3+ Goals10.5%
Away Exactly 15.0%
Away Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.6%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)85.3%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)82.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)74.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away74.1%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)70.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home70.0%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)58.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away58.7%
Away to win by 3+58.7%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)54.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home54.3%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)41.6%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away41.6%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)37.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home37.3%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)26.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away26.0%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)21.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home21.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.4%
Away to win by 215.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)13.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away13.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw12.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.2%
Away to win by 111.2%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)10.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home10.7%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.9%
Home to win by 12.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.0%
Home to win by 21.0%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%
Home to win by 3+0.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & Over 2.580.2%
BTTS & Over 2.563.0%
Away & BTTS55.3%
Away & No BTTS30.0%
No BTTS & Over 2.525.0%
Draw & BTTS6.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.56.1%
Away & Under 2.55.1%
Draw & Over 2.54.3%
Home & Over 2.53.6%
Home & BTTS3.5%
Draw & Under 2.52.2%
BTTS & Under 2.51.8%
Home & No BTTS0.8%
Home & Under 2.50.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.592.1%
HT Away Win73.1%
HT Over 1.572.1%
HT/FT Away/Away70.6%
2nd Half More Goals50.7%
HT Both Teams Score35.1%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Under 1.527.9%
HT Draw18.5%
Equal Goals Each Half16.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%
HT Home Win8.4%
HT Under 0.57.9%
HT/FT Home/Away4.2%
HT/FT Draw/Draw2.7%
HT/FT Home/Home2.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%
HT/FT Draw/Home1.4%
HT/FT Away/Home0.5%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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