Mexico · Liga MX

Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Atletico San Luis 35.0% Draw 25.1% Guadalajara Chivas 39.9%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Guadalajara Chivas: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Atletico San Luis

W D L D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Guadalajara Chivas

D W W D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico San Luis win35.0%

Draw25.1%

Guadalajara Chivas win39.9%

Over 1.5 goals86.6%

Over 2.5 goals66.0%

Over 3.5 goals44.2%

Both teams to score68.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.4%

Both Halves Over 0.566.3%

Goal in Both Halves66.3%

Draw or Away (X2)63.8%

Home or Draw (1X)58.8%

Draw No Bet - Away53.2%

Draw No Bet - Home46.8%

Away Win41.2%

Home Win36.2%

Draw22.6%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals87.1%

Over 1.5 Goals85.3%

Under 4.5 Goals74.4%

Over 2.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals55.8%

1-3 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.2%

4+ Goals44.2%

2-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.0%

1-2 Goals30.6%

Over 4.5 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.3%

Under 1.5 Goals14.7%

Over 5.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.8%

Home Team to Score80.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.3%

Away Clean Sheet19.4%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Away Win to Nil16.0%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.8%

Home Over 0.580.6%

Away Over 1.552.5%

Home Over 1.548.8%

Home Exactly 131.8%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.525.9%

Away 3+ Goals25.9%

Home Over 2.522.7%

Home 3+ Goals22.7%

Home Exactly 019.4%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 212.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 210.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.3%

Away to win by 3+9.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.3%

Home to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.1%

Away & Over 2.530.1%

Home & Over 2.526.3%

Away & BTTS25.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.3%

Home & BTTS22.4%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS16.0%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.0%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

Home & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Under 1.554.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.2%

HT Draw36.3%

HT Away Win33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Home Win30.3%

HT Both Teams Score28.6%

HT/FT Away/Away25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT/FT Home/Home21.7%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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