Mexico · Liga MX

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Atletico San Luis 32.0% Draw 24.4% Necaxa 43.6%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atletico San Luis: 5 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Atletico San Luis

L L W D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Necaxa

L D L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico San Luis win32.0%

Draw24.4%

Necaxa win43.6%

Over 1.5 goals87.6%

Over 2.5 goals68.0%

Over 3.5 goals46.4%

Both teams to score69.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

88.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Both Halves Over 0.567.8%

Goal in Both Halves67.8%

Draw or Away (X2)66.8%

Draw No Bet - Away57.4%

Home or Draw (1X)55.2%

Away Win44.8%

Draw No Bet - Home42.6%

Home Win33.2%

Draw22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.7%

Under 4.5 Goals72.5%

Over 2.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.6%

1-3 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.4%

4+ Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals32.0%

1-2 Goals29.0%

Over 4.5 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals14.3%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.9%

Home Team to Score80.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.0%

Away Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil17.0%

Home Clean Sheet15.0%

Home Win to Nil12.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.9%

Home Over 0.580.0%

Away Over 1.556.4%

Home Over 1.547.8%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Away Over 2.529.4%

Away 3+ Goals29.4%

Away Exactly 128.5%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Over 2.521.9%

Home 3+ Goals21.9%

Home Exactly 020.0%

Away Exactly 015.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)33.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 213.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.2%

Away to win by 3+11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 29.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.4%

Home to win by 3+6.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.8%

Away & Over 2.533.7%

Away & BTTS27.8%

Home & Over 2.524.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.8%

Home & BTTS21.1%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Away & No BTTS17.0%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Home & No BTTS12.0%

Away & Under 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.3%

HT Under 1.553.2%

HT Over 1.546.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Away Win35.9%

HT Draw35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.6%

HT Home Win28.6%

HT/FT Away/Away27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.7%

HT/FT Home/Home19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions