Mexico · Liga MX

Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Oct 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Atletico San Luis 33.6% Draw 21.9% Santos Laguna 44.5%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Santos Laguna: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Atletico San Luis

L L W D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Santos Laguna

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atletico San Luis win33.6%

Draw21.9%

Santos Laguna win44.5%

Over 1.5 goals92.8%

Over 2.5 goals78.3%

Over 3.5 goals59.5%

Both teams to score77.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Both Halves Over 0.575.9%

Goal in Both Halves75.9%

Draw or Away (X2)65.4%

Draw No Bet - Away56.8%

Home or Draw (1X)54.6%

Away Win45.3%

Draw No Bet - Home43.2%

Home Win34.5%

Draw20.1%

Exactly 1 Goal6.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.3%

Under 5.5 Goals76.2%

Under 4.5 Goals60.0%

Over 3.5 Goals59.5%

4+ Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.9%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.3%

Over 5.5 Goals23.8%

Under 2.5 Goals21.7%

1-2 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.1%

Home Team to Score85.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Away Clean Sheet14.5%

Away Win to Nil12.9%

Home Clean Sheet10.9%

Home Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.1%

Home Over 0.585.5%

Away Over 1.565.0%

Home Over 1.557.5%

Away Over 2.538.2%

Away 3+ Goals38.2%

Home Over 2.530.5%

Home 3+ Goals30.5%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.1%

Home Exactly 014.5%

Away Exactly 010.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 118.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 213.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.2%

Away to win by 3+13.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.0%

Home to win by 3+8.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.4%

Away & Over 2.538.0%

Away & BTTS32.4%

Home & Over 2.528.5%

Home & BTTS25.2%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.9%

Away & No BTTS12.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

Home & No BTTS9.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.6%

HT Over 1.555.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.544.3%

HT Away Win37.5%

HT Both Teams Score36.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw32.1%

HT Home Win30.5%

HT/FT Away/Away28.7%

HT/FT Home/Home21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT Under 0.515.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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