USA · Major League Soccer

Austin vs FC Dallas

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Austin 22.1% Draw 22.7% FC Dallas 55.2%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 67%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 3 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Austin

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:15 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.5

FC Dallas

D L D W W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austin win22.1%

Draw22.7%

FC Dallas win55.2%

Over 1.5 goals87.9%

Over 2.5 goals68.5%

Over 3.5 goals47.0%

Both teams to score66.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.2%

Away Team to Score

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Draw or Away (X2)76.7%

Draw No Bet - Away70.8%

Both Halves Over 0.568.2%

Goal in Both Halves68.2%

Away Win56.3%

Home or Draw (1X)43.6%

Draw No Bet - Home29.2%

Home Win23.2%

Draw20.4%

Exactly 1 Goal10.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.7%

Under 5.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals72.0%

Over 2.5 Goals68.5%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Under 3.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

1-3 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals47.0%

4+ Goals47.0%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.7%

Under 2.5 Goals31.5%

1-2 Goals28.6%

Over 4.5 Goals28.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.2%

Over 5.5 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals13.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.7%

Home Team to Score74.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.3%

Away Clean Sheet25.9%

Away Win to Nil23.0%

Home Clean Sheet11.3%

Home Win to Nil8.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.7%

Home Over 0.574.1%

Away Over 1.564.0%

Home Over 1.539.1%

Away Over 2.537.2%

Away 3+ Goals37.2%

Home Exactly 135.0%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 025.9%

Away Exactly 124.6%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Home Over 2.515.5%

Home 3+ Goals15.5%

Away Exactly 011.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.7%

Away to win by 121.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.7%

Away to win by 3+17.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.5%

Home to win by 26.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.3%

Home to win by 3+3.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.1%

Away & Over 2.543.0%

Away & BTTS33.3%

Away & No BTTS23.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.9%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Home & Over 2.516.6%

Home & BTTS14.9%

Away & Under 2.513.3%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Home & No BTTS8.4%

Home & Under 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.6%

HT Under 1.552.8%

HT Over 1.547.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

HT Away Win43.4%

HT/FT Away/Away36.4%

HT Draw34.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.5%

HT Home Win22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.2%

HT/FT Home/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners73.4%

Over 8.5 Corners62.8%

Under 10.5 Corners62.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners53.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners53.0%

Over 9.5 Corners50.0%

Under 9.5 Corners50.0%

Home Most Corners43.5%

Away Most Corners43.5%

Over 10.5 Corners37.5%

Under 8.5 Corners37.2%

Over 11.5 Corners26.6%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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