USA · Major League Soccer

Austin vs Nashville SC

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Austin 38.2% Draw 22.9% Nashville SC 38.9%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 75%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Austin

D D W D D W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Nashville SC

W W D L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austin win38.2%

Draw22.9%

Nashville SC win38.9%

Over 1.5 goals91.2%

Over 2.5 goals75.0%

Over 3.5 goals55.0%

Both teams to score74.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.0%

Both Halves Over 0.573.2%

Goal in Both Halves73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)60.8%

Home or Draw (1X)60.1%

Draw No Bet - Away50.4%

Draw No Bet - Home49.6%

Away Win39.9%

Home Win39.2%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.8%

Over 2.5 Goals74.9%

Under 4.5 Goals64.5%

Over 3.5 Goals55.0%

4+ Goals55.0%

2-4 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals45.0%

1-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.5%

2-3 Goals35.2%

Under 2.5 Goals25.1%

1-2 Goals23.0%

Over 5.5 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.0%

Home Team to Score85.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.2%

Away Clean Sheet14.2%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Away Win to Nil12.2%

Home Win to Nil12.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.0%

Home Over 0.585.7%

Away Over 1.558.5%

Home Over 1.558.0%

Away Over 2.531.4%

Away 3+ Goals31.4%

Home Over 2.531.0%

Home 3+ Goals31.0%

Home Exactly 127.7%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 014.2%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 211.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.9%

Away to win by 3+9.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.6%

Home to win by 3+9.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.1%

Away & Over 2.532.1%

Home & Over 2.531.5%

Away & BTTS27.6%

Home & BTTS27.2%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.4%

Away & No BTTS12.2%

Home & No BTTS12.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.57.8%

Home & Under 2.57.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Over 1.552.6%

HT Under 1.547.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Both Teams Score34.3%

HT Away Win33.6%

HT Draw33.3%

HT Home Win33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Away/Away24.6%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners86.9%

Under 10.5 Corners79.0%

Under 9.5 Corners68.5%

Away Most Corners56.8%

Under 8.5 Corners55.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.1%

Over 8.5 Corners44.2%

Over 9.5 Corners31.5%

Home Most Corners29.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners29.8%

Over 10.5 Corners21.0%

Over 11.5 Corners13.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards80.4%

Over 2.5 Cards74.3%

Under 4.5 Cards65.3%

Over 3.5 Cards54.2%

Under 3.5 Cards45.8%

Over 4.5 Cards34.7%

Under 2.5 Cards25.7%

Over 5.5 Cards19.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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