USA · Major League Soccer

Austin vs Portland Timbers

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Austin 40.3% Draw 17.3% Portland Timbers 42.4%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 91%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Portland Timbers: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Austin

L W L L L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 9:15 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.5

Portland Timbers

W W D L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Austin 1wins ·0 draws ·Portland Timbers 0wins

Austin 2-1 Portland TimbersAug 30, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austin win40.3%

Draw17.3%

Portland Timbers win42.4%

Over 1.5 goals98.6%

Over 2.5 goals93.8%

Over 3.5 goals84.9%

Both teams to score90.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.8%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.9%

Goal in Both Halves89.9%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)59.0%

Home or Draw (1X)56.9%

Draw No Bet - Away51.3%

Draw No Bet - Home48.7%

Away Win42.4%

Home Win40.2%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals93.1%

Over 3.5 Goals84.3%

4+ Goals84.3%

Over 4.5 Goals71.0%

Over 5.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 5.5 Goals45.0%

Under 4.5 Goals29.0%

2-4 Goals26.5%

3-4 Goals22.1%

Under 3.5 Goals15.7%

1-3 Goals14.7%

2-3 Goals13.2%

Exactly 3 Goals8.8%

Under 2.5 Goals6.9%

1-2 Goals5.9%

Exactly 2 Goals4.4%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

Home Team to Score94.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.1%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Home Clean Sheet4.7%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 1.580.0%

Home Over 1.579.0%

Away Over 2.558.0%

Away 3+ Goals58.0%

Home Over 2.556.5%

Home 3+ Goals56.5%

Home Exactly 222.5%

Away Exactly 222.0%

Home Exactly 115.1%

Away Exactly 114.5%

Home Exactly 05.1%

Away Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 115.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.2%

Away to win by 3+15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.9%

Home to win by 3+13.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.4%

Away & Over 2.540.5%

Home & Over 2.538.4%

Away & BTTS37.5%

Home & BTTS35.7%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.7%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.3%

HT Over 1.575.3%

HT Both Teams Score55.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT Away Win37.8%

HT Home Win36.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away27.6%

HT/FT Home/Home26.0%

HT Draw25.8%

HT Under 1.524.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.7%

HT Under 0.56.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

Corners (12)

Away Most Corners75.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners74.7%

Under 11.5 Corners71.1%

Over 8.5 Corners65.3%

Under 10.5 Corners59.9%

Over 9.5 Corners52.6%

Under 9.5 Corners47.4%

Over 10.5 Corners40.1%

Under 8.5 Corners34.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners29.8%

Over 11.5 Corners28.9%

Home Most Corners15.7%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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