USA · Major League Soccer

Austin vs San Diego

● LIVE 63' · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Austin 47.0% Draw 28.9% San Diego 24.1%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Austin: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.2%

Exact-score model probability

Austin

D W D D W D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

San Diego

L L L W W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Austin 0wins ·0 draws ·San Diego 1wins

Austin 0-5 San DiegoMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austin win47.0%

Draw28.9%

San Diego win24.1%

Over 1.5 goals73.8%

Over 2.5 goals46.7%

Over 3.5 goals25.2%

Both teams to score51.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)74.4%

Home or Away (12)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home65.5%

Draw or Away (X2)51.4%

Both Halves Over 0.551.3%

Goal in Both Halves51.3%

Home Win48.6%

Draw No Bet - Away34.5%

Draw25.8%

Away Win25.6%

Exactly 1 Goal20.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.5%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.5%

Under 3.5 Goals74.8%

Over 1.5 Goals72.2%

1-3 Goals67.0%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 2.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.7%

1-2 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Under 1.5 Goals27.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.4%

Over 3.5 Goals25.2%

4+ Goals25.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.9%

Over 5.5 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.1%

Away Team to Score64.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.9%

Home Clean Sheet35.8%

Home Win to Nil28.0%

Away Clean Sheet21.9%

Away Win to Nil14.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 0.564.2%

Home Over 1.544.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 035.8%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Over 1.527.4%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 021.9%

Home Over 2.519.6%

Home 3+ Goals19.6%

Away Exactly 218.9%

Away Over 2.58.5%

Away 3+ Goals8.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.0%

Home to win by 124.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 214.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.9%

Home to win by 3+9.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

Away to win by 26.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.7%

Away to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.0%

BTTS & Over 2.537.9%

Home & No BTTS28.0%

Home & Over 2.527.7%

Home & Under 2.521.0%

Home & BTTS20.6%

Draw & Under 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Away & No BTTS14.1%

Away & Over 2.513.4%

Away & Under 2.512.2%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Away & BTTS11.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.3%

HT Over 0.568.2%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

HT Draw42.7%

HT Home Win35.8%

HT Under 0.531.8%

HT Over 1.531.7%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

HT/FT Home/Home29.5%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

HT Away Win21.5%

HT Both Teams Score18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.1%

HT/FT Away/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners68.2%

Over 8.5 Corners68.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Under 10.5 Corners56.7%

Over 9.5 Corners55.8%

Away Most Corners54.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.1%

Under 9.5 Corners44.2%

Over 10.5 Corners43.3%

Home Most Corners33.2%

Under 8.5 Corners31.9%

Over 11.5 Corners31.8%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards84.0%

Under 5.5 Cards68.1%

Over 3.5 Cards67.8%

Under 4.5 Cards50.9%

Over 4.5 Cards49.1%

Under 3.5 Cards32.2%

Over 5.5 Cards31.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.5%

Under 2.5 Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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