USA · Major League Soccer

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes

● LIVE 60' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Austin 54.2% Draw 18.0% San Jose Earthquakes 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Austin: 7 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Austin

W D W L L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

San Jose Earthquakes

D L L L L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austin win54.2%

Draw18.0%

San Jose Earthquakes win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.3%

Over 3.5 goals76.5%

Both teams to score85.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.5%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.9%

Away Team to Score

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.4%

Goal in Both Halves85.4%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Home or Draw (1X)71.4%

Draw No Bet - Home65.9%

Home Win54.4%

Draw or Away (X2)45.2%

Draw No Bet - Away34.1%

Away Win28.2%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals76.2%

4+ Goals76.2%

Over 4.5 Goals59.5%

Under 5.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals42.0%

Under 4.5 Goals40.5%

2-4 Goals36.7%

3-4 Goals29.4%

Under 3.5 Goals23.8%

1-3 Goals22.8%

2-3 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals12.7%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals10.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score88.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.6%

Home Clean Sheet10.8%

Home Win to Nil10.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.9%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 0.588.7%

Home Over 1.579.8%

Away Over 1.564.7%

Home Over 2.557.6%

Home 3+ Goals57.6%

Away Over 2.538.1%

Away 3+ Goals38.1%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 124.0%

Home Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 114.8%

Away Exactly 010.8%

Home Exactly 04.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.6%

Home to win by 3+21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 215.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 113.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.0%

Away to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.8%

Home & Over 2.550.4%

Home & BTTS44.1%

Away & Over 2.525.7%

Away & BTTS23.8%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.9%

Home & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

Home & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Over 1.568.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score46.9%

HT Home Win45.0%

HT/FT Home/Home36.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.8%

HT Away Win27.6%

HT Draw27.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners79.9%

Under 10.5 Corners70.1%

Under 9.5 Corners58.2%

Over 8.5 Corners55.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners54.5%

Away Most Corners53.7%

Under 8.5 Corners45.0%

Over 9.5 Corners41.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners39.6%

Home Most Corners33.2%

Over 10.5 Corners29.9%

Over 11.5 Corners20.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards83.6%

Under 5.5 Cards68.9%

Over 3.5 Cards67.2%

Under 4.5 Cards51.6%

Over 4.5 Cards48.4%

Under 3.5 Cards32.8%

Over 5.5 Cards31.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.3%

Under 2.5 Cards16.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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