UEFA Europa Conference League

Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

Austria Vienna 91.4% Draw 6.0% Beitar Jerusalem 2.6%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Austria Vienna: 9 points versus 3 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

Austria Vienna

W W W

Form 3-0-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Beitar Jerusalem

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Austria Vienna 1wins ·0 draws ·Beitar Jerusalem 0wins

Austria Vienna 2-1 Beitar JerusalemAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austria Vienna win91.4%

Draw6.0%

Beitar Jerusalem win2.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.9%

Over 3.5 goals77.3%

Both teams to score58.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.0%

Home or Away (12)

90.9%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.9%

Home or Draw (1X)93.3%

Home or Away (12)90.9%

Home Win88.1%

Both Halves Over 0.586.3%

Goal in Both Halves86.3%

Draw or Away (X2)8.0%

Draw5.3%

Draw No Bet - Away3.1%

Away Win2.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals86.4%

Over 3.5 Goals74.3%

4+ Goals74.3%

Under 5.5 Goals59.2%

Over 4.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals41.9%

Over 5.5 Goals40.8%

2-4 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals28.2%

Under 3.5 Goals25.7%

1-3 Goals21.3%

2-3 Goals18.8%

Under 2.5 Goals13.6%

Exactly 3 Goals12.1%

1-2 Goals9.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Exactly 2 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score56.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.1%

Home Clean Sheet39.5%

Home Win to Nil39.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.4%

Home 3+ Goals78.4%

Away Over 0.556.6%

Away Exactly 039.5%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Away Over 1.521.5%

Away Exactly 215.6%

Home Exactly 211.4%

Away Over 2.55.9%

Away 3+ Goals5.9%

Home Exactly 15.1%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)80.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home77.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away67.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home62.9%

Home to win by 3+62.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away50.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home45.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away33.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home28.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home15.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 215.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 110.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away8.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 12.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.3%

BTTS & Over 2.554.1%

Home & BTTS49.0%

Home & No BTTS39.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.532.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & Under 2.56.8%

Draw & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

Away & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS0.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.0%

HT Home Win75.9%

HT/FT Home/Home74.1%

HT Over 1.569.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.6%

HT Both Teams Score28.6%

HT Draw17.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT Under 0.59.0%

HT Away Win6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Away/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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