UEFA Europa Conference League

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Austria Vienna 82.3% Draw 14.8% FK Liepaja 2.9%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 24%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 19.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.6%

Exact-score model probability

Austria Vienna

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:0 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0

FK Liepaja

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Austria Vienna 1wins ·0 draws ·FK Liepaja 0wins

Austria Vienna 2-0 FK LiepajaJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Austria Vienna win82.3%

Draw14.8%

FK Liepaja win2.9%

Over 1.5 goals73.9%

Over 2.5 goals48.1%

Over 3.5 goals26.4%

Both teams to score24.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.4%

Draw No Bet - Home95.9%

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Home Win82.9%

Both Halves Over 0.552.5%

Goal in Both Halves52.5%

Exactly 1 Goal19.3%

Draw or Away (X2)17.1%

Draw13.5%

Draw No Bet - Away4.1%

Away Win3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.2%

Over 0.5 Goals92.5%

Under 4.5 Goals87.8%

Under 3.5 Goals73.7%

Over 1.5 Goals73.2%

1-3 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.1%

2-3 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 1.5 Goals26.8%

Over 3.5 Goals26.3%

4+ Goals26.3%

Exactly 2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals7.5%

Exactly 0 Goals7.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.7%

Home Clean Sheet74.0%

Home Win to Nil66.6%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.3%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Exactly 074.0%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home59.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away40.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.6%

Home to win by 3+34.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw24.6%

Home to win by 224.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.7%

Home to win by 123.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 13.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS66.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.546.7%

Home & Over 2.546.1%

Home & Under 2.536.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.529.9%

BTTS & Over 2.518.2%

Home & BTTS16.3%

Draw & Under 2.512.6%

Draw & BTTS6.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS1.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.0%

HT Under 1.567.3%

HT Home Win59.7%

HT/FT Home/Home58.0%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw35.5%

HT Over 1.532.7%

HT Under 0.531.0%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

Equal Goals Each Half26.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home23.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT Both Teams Score8.1%

HT Away Win4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Austria Vienna win45%

Draw45%

FK Liepaja win10%

AdviceCombo Double chance : Austria Vienna or draw and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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