France · Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Angers

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Auxerre 52.5% Draw 29.5% Angers 18.1%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Auxerre: 10 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Auxerre

L W W W L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:12 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2

Angers

L D D L L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Auxerre 2wins ·1 draws ·Angers 2wins

Auxerre 3-1 AngersMay 3, 2026

Auxerre 0-2 AngersNov 9, 2025

Auxerre 0-2 AngersJan 19, 2025

Auxerre 1-0 AngersNov 24, 2024

Auxerre 1-1 AngersFeb 12, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Auxerre win52.5%

Draw29.5%

Angers win18.1%

Over 1.5 goals62.9%

Over 2.5 goals88.2%

Over 3.5 goals16.1%

Both teams to score46.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Home or Away (12)

89.0%

HT Over 0.5

85.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)93.1%

Draw No Bet - Home93.0%

Home or Away (12)89.0%

Home Win82.8%

Both Halves Over 0.576.6%

Goal in Both Halves76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)16.5%

Draw10.3%

Draw No Bet - Away7.0%

Away Win6.2%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals78.4%

Under 5.5 Goals75.8%

Over 3.5 Goals60.0%

4+ Goals60.0%

Under 4.5 Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals40.5%

Under 3.5 Goals40.0%

3-4 Goals37.9%

1-3 Goals37.8%

2-3 Goals31.6%

Over 5.5 Goals24.2%

Under 2.5 Goals21.6%

1-2 Goals19.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals13.1%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score58.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.0%

Home Clean Sheet41.2%

Home Win to Nil39.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 1.583.8%

Home Over 2.564.0%

Home 3+ Goals64.0%

Away Over 0.558.1%

Away Exactly 041.2%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.521.9%

Home Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 215.9%

Home Exactly 111.9%

Away Over 2.55.9%

Away 3+ Goals5.9%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away71.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home46.2%

Home to win by 3+46.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.6%

BTTS & Over 2.551.7%

Home & BTTS43.1%

Home & No BTTS39.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.5%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS8.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.4%

Away & Over 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Away & BTTS4.1%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.0%

HT Home Win65.1%

HT/FT Home/Home62.0%

HT Over 1.556.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw25.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Under 0.515.0%

HT Away Win9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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