France · Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Paris FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Auxerre 30.7% Draw 28.7% Paris FC 40.7%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Auxerre 0 wins, 2 draws, Paris FC 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Auxerre

L D W W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Paris FC

W L L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 2

Auxerre 0wins ·2 draws ·Paris FC 0wins

Auxerre 0-0 Paris FCFeb 8, 2026

Auxerre 1-1 Paris FCNov 29, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Auxerre win30.7%

Draw28.7%

Paris FC win40.7%

Over 1.5 goals71.7%

Over 2.5 goals76.3%

Over 3.5 goals23.8%

Both teams to score75.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

83.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

83.7%

Under 4.5 Goals

82.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.5%

Home or Draw (1X)64.6%

Draw or Away (X2)59.8%

Both Halves Over 0.559.1%

Goal in Both Halves59.1%

Draw No Bet - Home53.2%

Draw No Bet - Away46.8%

Home Win40.2%

Away Win35.4%

Draw24.5%

Exactly 1 Goal15.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.8%

Under 5.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals82.3%

Over 1.5 Goals79.4%

Under 3.5 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.5%

Over 2.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.1%

Under 2.5 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals38.9%

1-2 Goals38.1%

Over 3.5 Goals34.3%

4+ Goals34.3%

Exactly 2 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.6%

Over 4.5 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals5.2%

Exactly 0 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.4%

Away Team to Score75.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.5%

Home Clean Sheet24.1%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Win to Nil18.9%

Away Win to Nil16.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 0.575.9%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Away Over 1.541.6%

Away Exactly 134.3%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 224.4%

Away Exactly 024.1%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Over 2.517.2%

Away 3+ Goals17.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 120.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 119.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.7%

Home to win by 3+7.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.0%

Away to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.0%

Home & Over 2.526.1%

Away & Over 2.522.7%

Home & BTTS21.3%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS18.9%

Away & BTTS18.9%

Draw & Under 2.516.6%

Away & No BTTS16.4%

Home & Under 2.514.1%

Away & Under 2.512.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.5%

HT Under 1.561.6%

2nd Half More Goals44.4%

HT Draw39.5%

HT Over 1.538.4%

HT Home Win31.8%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Away Win28.8%

HT Under 0.526.5%

Equal Goals Each Half24.2%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

HT Both Teams Score23.6%

HT/FT Away/Away20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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