Italy · Serie B

Avellino vs Arezzo

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Avellino 9.2% Draw 28.5% Arezzo 62.3%

Over 2.5 - 29% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 22.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22.2%

Exact-score model probability

Avellino

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Arezzo

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Avellino win9.2%

Draw28.5%

Arezzo win62.3%

Over 1.5 goals57.5%

Over 2.5 goals29.3%

Over 3.5 goals12.3%

Both teams to score27.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

89.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.5%

Draw No Bet - Away85.9%

Home or Away (12)74.0%

Away Win63.5%

Both Halves Over 0.537.0%

Goal in Both Halves37.0%

Home or Draw (1X)36.5%

Exactly 1 Goal28.6%

Draw26.0%

Draw No Bet - Home14.1%

Home Win10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.7%

Under 4.5 Goals95.7%

Under 3.5 Goals87.7%

Over 0.5 Goals84.9%

1-3 Goals72.5%

Under 2.5 Goals70.7%

Over 1.5 Goals56.3%

1-2 Goals55.5%

2-4 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even51.1%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

2-3 Goals44.0%

Under 1.5 Goals43.7%

Over 2.5 Goals29.3%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

3-4 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.0%

Under 0.5 Goals15.1%

Exactly 0 Goals15.1%

Over 3.5 Goals12.3%

4+ Goals12.3%

Over 4.5 Goals4.3%

Over 5.5 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score76.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.5%

Away Clean Sheet65.6%

Away Win to Nil50.4%

Home Team to Score34.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.5%

Home Clean Sheet23.1%

Home Win to Nil7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.576.9%

Home Exactly 065.6%

Away Over 1.543.1%

Home Over 0.534.4%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Home Exactly 127.7%

Away Exactly 224.8%

Away Exactly 023.1%

Away Over 2.518.3%

Away 3+ Goals18.3%

Home Over 1.56.8%

Home Exactly 25.8%

Home Over 2.50.9%

Home 3+ Goals0.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)36.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home36.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw29.8%

Away to win by 129.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 219.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.8%

Away to win by 3+13.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 18.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.6%

Home to win by 21.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.561.3%

Away & No BTTS50.4%

Away & Under 2.538.5%

Away & Over 2.525.0%

Draw & Under 2.524.5%

BTTS & Over 2.517.1%

Away & BTTS13.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Home & No BTTS7.9%

Home & Under 2.57.7%

Home & Over 2.52.7%

Home & BTTS2.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.579.1%

HT Over 0.557.3%

HT Draw48.3%

HT Under 0.542.7%

HT Away Win42.2%

2nd Half More Goals39.2%

HT/FT Away/Away39.1%

Equal Goals Each Half31.7%

1st Half More Goals29.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away23.0%

HT Over 1.520.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.4%

HT Home Win9.5%

HT Both Teams Score8.4%

HT/FT Home/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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