Italy · Serie B

Avellino vs Padova

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Avellino 2.9% Draw 9.2% Padova 87.9%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 12.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.4%

Exact-score model probability

Avellino

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Avellino win2.9%

Draw9.2%

Padova win87.9%

Over 1.5 goals90.6%

Over 2.5 goals74.6%

Over 3.5 goals54.5%

Both teams to score42.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Home or Away (12)

91.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away96.3%

Draw or Away (X2)95.9%

Home or Away (12)91.1%

Away Win87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.573.1%

Goal in Both Halves73.1%

Home or Draw (1X)11.5%

Draw8.1%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Draw No Bet - Home3.7%

Home Win3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals80.7%

Over 2.5 Goals74.1%

Under 4.5 Goals65.4%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Over 3.5 Goals54.1%

4+ Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals45.9%

1-3 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Over 4.5 Goals34.6%

Under 2.5 Goals25.9%

1-2 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.3%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)58.2%

Away Clean Sheet55.9%

Away Win to Nil53.8%

Home Team to Score43.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)41.8%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Exactly 055.9%

Home Over 0.543.4%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Home Over 1.511.3%

Home Exactly 29.2%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)87.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home81.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away72.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home66.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away52.0%

Away to win by 3+52.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home47.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away32.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home27.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home11.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw9.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away8.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.7%

Home to win by 12.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.6%

Home to win by 20.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.569.9%

Away & No BTTS53.8%

BTTS & Over 2.538.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.536.1%

Away & BTTS33.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.3%

Away & Under 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.3%

Home & Over 2.51.9%

Home & BTTS1.8%

Home & No BTTS1.6%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Away Win69.3%

HT/FT Away/Away67.4%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT Under 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Both Teams Score17.7%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT Home Win6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Home1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions