Italy · Serie B

Avellino vs Pisa

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Avellino 46.0% Draw 38.0% Pisa 16.0%

Over 2.5 - 19% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 22.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Avellino: 3 points versus 0 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 0.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22.8%

Exact-score model probability

Avellino

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Pisa

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Avellino win46.0%

Draw38.0%

Pisa win16.0%

Over 1.5 goals44.9%

Over 2.5 goals18.5%

Over 3.5 goals6.3%

Both teams to score25.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

85.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

82.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

82.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.6%

Draw No Bet - Home73.2%

Home or Away (12)64.9%

Draw or Away (X2)52.5%

Home Win47.5%

Draw35.1%

Exactly 1 Goal33.7%

Both Halves Over 0.527.0%

Goal in Both Halves27.0%

Draw No Bet - Away26.8%

Away Win17.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.2%

Under 3.5 Goals93.7%

Under 2.5 Goals81.5%

Over 0.5 Goals77.2%

1-3 Goals70.9%

1-2 Goals58.6%

Under 1.5 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even52.6%

Total Goals Odd47.4%

Over 1.5 Goals43.4%

2-4 Goals41.7%

2-3 Goals37.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Under 0.5 Goals22.8%

Exactly 0 Goals22.8%

Over 2.5 Goals18.5%

3-4 Goals16.8%

Exactly 3 Goals12.3%

Over 3.5 Goals6.3%

4+ Goals6.3%

Over 4.5 Goals1.8%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.9%

Home Team to Score63.1%

Home Clean Sheet61.9%

Home Win to Nil39.0%

Away Team to Score38.1%

Away Clean Sheet36.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.1%

Away Win to Nil14.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.563.1%

Away Exactly 061.9%

Away Over 0.538.1%

Home Exactly 036.9%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Home Over 1.526.3%

Home Exactly 218.3%

Away Over 1.58.4%

Home Over 2.58.0%

Home 3+ Goals8.0%

Away Exactly 27.1%

Away Over 2.51.3%

Away 3+ Goals1.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.7%

Home to win by 128.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 213.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.5%

Home to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.570.5%

Home & No BTTS39.0%

Home & Under 2.534.1%

Draw & Under 2.533.8%

Away & No BTTS14.1%

Away & Under 2.513.6%

Home & Over 2.513.3%

BTTS & Over 2.513.1%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Home & BTTS8.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.4%

Away & Over 2.53.8%

Away & BTTS3.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.585.6%

HT Draw56.6%

HT Under 0.551.4%

HT Over 0.548.6%

Equal Goals Each Half36.9%

2nd Half More Goals35.9%

HT Home Win30.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw28.9%

1st Half More Goals27.2%

HT/FT Home/Home26.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Over 1.514.4%

HT Away Win13.0%

HT/FT Away/Away8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT Both Teams Score7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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