Brazil · Serie A
Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc
📊 Our Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
91% confidence
Over 2.5 - 91%
BTTS - 86%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
High scoring rate
⚠️ Market disagrees
- bookies say 46%
⚠️ AIs disagree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
Over 1.5 Goals
Very likely outcome
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Bahia and Chapecoense-sc have similar form with both teams scoring in all their last 4 matches. Bahia's home scoring rate is lower than their away rate. Chapecoense-sc's away defense is relatively stronger. No key player injuries reported. The pi-ratings show a small differential. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring rate of both teams.
Top Tip
Over 2
📈 Probability Breakdown
Bahia win50.0%
Draw20.0%
Chapecoense-sc win30.0%
Over 1.5 goals97.8%
Over 2.5 goals90.6%
Over 3.5 goals79.9%
Both teams to score86.4%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.