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Brazil · Serie A

Bahia vs Corinthians

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Jul 26
📊 Our Prediction
Both Teams Score (GG)
48% confidence
Bahia 48.0% Draw 22.0% Corinthians 30.0%
Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 88%
🎯 Best Pick
Both Teams Score (GG)
High scoring teams
⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 45%
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
78%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
85%
Home or Draw (1X)
Home advantage
80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Bahia and Corinthians have a history of high scoring matches. Bahia's home form is decent with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game. Corinthians' away form is weaker, but they still pose an attacking threat. With key players like Kayky for Bahia, they have a good chance of scoring. However, Corinthians' defense can be vulnerable. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring nature of both teams.
💡
Top Tip
Over 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bahia win48.0%
Draw22.0%
Corinthians win30.0%
Over 1.5 goals97.8%
Over 2.5 goals91.1%
Over 3.5 goals79.9%
Both teams to score87.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5
91.7%
Away Team to Score
91.3%
Away Over 0.5
91.3%
Over 0.5 Goals99.1%
Over 1.5 Goals96.9%
Home Team to Score94.6%
Home Over 0.594.6%
HT Over 0.591.7%
Away Team to Score91.3%
Away Over 0.591.3%
Over 2.5 Goals90.8%
Both Halves Over 0.587.3%
Goal in Both Halves87.3%
Both Teams Score (GG)86.8%
BTTS & Over 2.583.8%
Home or Away (12)82.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%
Home Over 1.579.9%
Over 3.5 Goals79.5%
4+ Goals79.5%
Away Over 1.570.9%
HT Over 1.570.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.8%
Home or Draw (1X)66.7%
Over 4.5 Goals64.0%
Draw No Bet - Home60.2%
Home Over 2.557.6%
Home 3+ Goals57.6%
Under 5.5 Goals53.1%
2nd Half More Goals50.6%
HT Both Teams Score50.2%
Draw or Away (X2)49.9%
Total Goals Odd49.7%
Total Goals Even49.7%
Home Win49.6%
Over 5.5 Goals46.9%
Home & Over 2.546.6%
Away Over 2.545.3%
Away 3+ Goals45.3%
HT Home Win42.1%
Home & BTTS41.9%
Draw No Bet - Away39.8%
Under 4.5 Goals36.0%
HT/FT Home/Home32.9%
Away Win32.8%
2-4 Goals32.8%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.7%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Away Win31.0%
Away & Over 2.530.6%
HT Under 1.529.1%
Away & BTTS28.3%
HT Draw26.9%
3-4 Goals26.7%
Away Exactly 225.5%
Home Exactly 222.2%
Under 3.5 Goals20.5%
HT/FT Away/Away20.5%
Away Exactly 120.4%
1-3 Goals19.6%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.9%
Home to win by 3+18.9%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.8%
2-3 Goals17.3%
Draw17.0%
Equal Goals Each Half17.0%
Home to win by 116.9%
Draw & BTTS16.6%
Home Exactly 114.7%
Away to win by 114.0%
Home to win by 213.8%
Draw & Over 2.513.6%
No Both Teams Score (NG)13.2%
HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%
Exactly 3 Goals11.2%
Away to win by 29.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%
Away to win by 3+9.3%
Under 2.5 Goals9.2%
HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%
1-2 Goals8.3%
HT Under 0.58.3%
Home Clean Sheet8.2%
Away Exactly 08.2%
Home Win to Nil7.8%
Home & No BTTS7.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%
HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%
Exactly 2 Goals6.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.55.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%
HT/FT Away/Home5.2%
Away Clean Sheet4.9%
Home Exactly 04.9%
Away Win to Nil4.5%
Away & No BTTS4.5%
HT/FT Home/Away3.9%
Draw & Under 2.53.4%
Under 1.5 Goals3.1%
Home & Under 2.53.0%
BTTS & Under 2.53.0%
Away & Under 2.52.3%
Exactly 1 Goal2.2%
Under 0.5 Goals0.9%
Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Corinthians
M. Depay Rest
Vitinho Hip Injury
Kayke Knee Injury
Bahia
Leo Vieira Injury
M. Moreno Lacking Match Fitness

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Bahia win35%
Draw35%
Corinthians win30%
AdviceDouble chance : Bahia or draw
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
← All predictions
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