Brazil · Serie A

Bahia vs Internacional

Kick-off 23:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Bahia 60.8% Draw 25.6% Internacional 13.6%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 44%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bahia: 8 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bahia

W D D D D D

Form 1-5-0 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Internacional

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bahia win60.8%

Draw25.6%

Internacional win13.6%

Over 1.5 goals72.5%

Over 2.5 goals45.5%

Over 3.5 goals24.1%

Both teams to score44.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.2%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Draw No Bet - Home80.6%

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Home Win62.2%

Both Halves Over 0.550.4%

Goal in Both Halves50.4%

Draw or Away (X2)37.8%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 1 Goal20.6%

Draw No Bet - Away19.4%

Away Win15.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.8%

Over 0.5 Goals91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals89.2%

Under 3.5 Goals75.9%

Over 1.5 Goals71.2%

1-3 Goals67.6%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 2.5 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.3%

Over 2.5 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 1.5 Goals28.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 3.5 Goals24.1%

4+ Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals10.8%

Under 0.5 Goals8.3%

Exactly 0 Goals8.2%

Over 5.5 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.1%

Away Team to Score51.8%

Home Clean Sheet48.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.9%

Home Win to Nil40.0%

Away Clean Sheet17.1%

Away Win to Nil8.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.9%

Home Over 1.552.7%

Away Over 0.551.8%

Away Exactly 048.2%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Home Exactly 130.2%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Over 2.526.0%

Home 3+ Goals26.0%

Home Exactly 017.1%

Away Over 1.516.6%

Away Exactly 212.8%

Away Over 2.53.8%

Away 3+ Goals3.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.2%

Home to win by 126.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.6%

Home to win by 3+16.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 110.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.543.9%

Home & No BTTS40.0%

Home & Over 2.534.8%

BTTS & Over 2.532.3%

Home & Under 2.527.4%

Home & BTTS22.2%

Draw & Under 2.518.9%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & No BTTS8.9%

Away & Under 2.58.2%

Away & Over 2.56.8%

Away & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Over 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.1%

HT Over 0.567.5%

HT Home Win44.2%

2nd Half More Goals42.5%

HT Draw41.6%

HT/FT Home/Home39.5%

HT Under 0.532.5%

HT Over 1.530.9%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.3%

HT Both Teams Score15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.1%

HT Away Win14.3%

HT/FT Away/Away8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners81.1%

Under 10.5 Corners71.6%

Under 9.5 Corners59.8%

Over 8.5 Corners53.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Away Most Corners48.8%

Under 8.5 Corners46.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.0%

Over 9.5 Corners40.2%

Home Most Corners37.8%

Over 10.5 Corners28.4%

Over 11.5 Corners18.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.5%

Over 2.5 Cards76.2%

Under 4.5 Cards62.9%

Over 3.5 Cards56.7%

Under 3.5 Cards43.3%

Over 4.5 Cards37.1%

Under 2.5 Cards23.8%

Over 5.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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