Brazil · Serie A

Bahia vs Remo

Kick-off 00:00 · Tue, Sep 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Bahia 83.0% Draw 11.4% Remo 5.6%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Bahia: 12 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bahia

W W W D D D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Remo

L L L D D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bahia win83.0%

Draw11.4%

Remo win5.6%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.6%

Over 3.5 goals59.9%

Both teams to score56.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.4%

Home or Away (12)

89.1%

HT Over 0.5

84.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)93.2%

Draw No Bet - Home93.1%

Home or Away (12)89.1%

Home Win82.9%

Both Halves Over 0.576.3%

Goal in Both Halves76.3%

Draw or Away (X2)16.3%

Draw10.2%

Draw No Bet - Away6.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.4%

Away Win6.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.4%

Over 2.5 Goals78.1%

Under 5.5 Goals76.3%

Under 4.5 Goals60.0%

Over 3.5 Goals59.5%

4+ Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.9%

Over 5.5 Goals23.7%

Under 2.5 Goals21.9%

1-2 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score57.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.6%

Home Clean Sheet41.8%

Home Win to Nil40.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 1.583.7%

Home Over 2.563.8%

Home 3+ Goals63.8%

Away Over 0.557.5%

Away Exactly 041.8%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.521.3%

Home Exactly 219.9%

Away Exactly 215.6%

Home Exactly 112.0%

Away Over 2.55.7%

Away 3+ Goals5.7%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away71.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home46.3%

Home to win by 3+46.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.5%

BTTS & Over 2.551.0%

Home & BTTS42.7%

Home & No BTTS40.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.8%

Home & Under 2.513.4%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Away & Over 2.54.2%

Away & BTTS4.0%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Home Win65.2%

HT/FT Home/Home62.1%

HT Over 1.556.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.543.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw25.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT Away Win9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners78.7%

Under 10.5 Corners68.6%

Over 8.5 Corners56.6%

Under 9.5 Corners56.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Away Most Corners45.5%

Over 9.5 Corners43.5%

Under 8.5 Corners43.4%

Home Most Corners41.2%

Over 10.5 Corners31.4%

Over 11.5 Corners21.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards84.1%

Over 2.5 Cards70.2%

Under 4.5 Cards70.2%

Under 3.5 Cards51.0%

Over 3.5 Cards49.0%

Under 2.5 Cards29.8%

Over 4.5 Cards29.8%

Over 5.5 Cards15.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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