France · Coupe de France

Balagne vs Montpellier

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Nov 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Balagne 87.1% Draw 10.9% Montpellier 2.0%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

87%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 98% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 2.0% on the only losing outcome.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

98%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

Only the uncovered result loses

Balagne

No recent results stored yet

Montpellier

L L L D L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 2:15 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Balagne win87.1%

Draw10.9%

Montpellier win2.0%

Over 1.5 goals80.7%

Over 2.5 goals57.8%

Over 3.5 goals35.3%

Both teams to score24.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.7%

Home or Away (12)

90.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)97.3%

Draw No Bet - Home97.2%

Home or Away (12)90.0%

Home Win87.5%

Both Halves Over 0.560.0%

Goal in Both Halves60.0%

Exactly 1 Goal14.9%

Draw or Away (X2)12.3%

Draw9.9%

Draw No Bet - Away2.8%

Away Win2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.9%

Under 5.5 Goals91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals81.6%

Over 1.5 Goals80.0%

Under 3.5 Goals64.8%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.6%

Over 2.5 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 2.5 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals39.2%

1-2 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals35.2%

4+ Goals35.2%

Exactly 2 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.0%

Over 4.5 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals5.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.9%

Home Clean Sheet73.9%

Home Win to Nil69.0%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.575.1%

Away Exactly 073.9%

Home Over 2.550.6%

Home 3+ Goals50.6%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 118.1%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.3%

Home to win by 3+44.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.5%

Home to win by 223.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away12.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 12.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS69.0%

Home & Over 2.556.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.537.5%

Home & Under 2.531.5%

BTTS & Over 2.520.1%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & BTTS4.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Over 2.50.8%

Away & BTTS0.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.2%

HT Home Win65.7%

HT/FT Home/Home64.3%

HT Under 1.560.8%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.2%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Draw30.3%

HT Under 0.525.8%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.8%

HT Both Teams Score8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT Away Win4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.2%

HT/FT Away/Away1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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