Russia · Premier League

Baltika vs Akron

Kick-off 15:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Baltika 47.9% Draw 22.5% Akron 29.6%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Baltika: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Baltika

L W L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Akron

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Baltika win47.9%

Draw22.5%

Akron win29.6%

Over 1.5 goals91.0%

Over 2.5 goals74.4%

Over 3.5 goals54.4%

Both teams to score73.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.9%

Home Team to Score

88.6%

Home Over 0.5

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.4%

Both Halves Over 0.572.8%

Goal in Both Halves72.8%

Home or Draw (1X)69.4%

Draw No Bet - Home61.5%

Draw or Away (X2)51.1%

Home Win48.9%

Draw No Bet - Away38.5%

Away Win30.6%

Draw20.5%

Exactly 1 Goal8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.3%

Over 2.5 Goals74.4%

Under 4.5 Goals65.2%

2-4 Goals55.1%

Over 3.5 Goals54.3%

4+ Goals54.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals45.7%

1-3 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.6%

Over 4.5 Goals34.8%

Under 2.5 Goals25.6%

1-2 Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.6%

Away Team to Score81.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.5%

Home Clean Sheet18.2%

Home Win to Nil16.1%

Away Clean Sheet11.3%

Away Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.6%

Away Over 0.581.8%

Home Over 1.564.0%

Away Over 1.550.8%

Home Over 2.537.1%

Home 3+ Goals37.1%

Away Exactly 131.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 124.7%

Away Over 2.524.4%

Away 3+ Goals24.4%

Away Exactly 018.2%

Home Exactly 011.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.1%

Away to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.9%

Home & Over 2.539.5%

Home & BTTS32.8%

Away & Over 2.524.1%

Away & BTTS21.3%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.9%

Home & No BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Away & No BTTS9.3%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.6%

HT Over 1.552.2%

HT Under 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Home Win39.3%

HT Both Teams Score33.5%

HT Draw33.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Home/Home31.1%

HT Away Win27.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT/FT Away/Away18.2%

HT Under 0.517.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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