Russia · Premier League

Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Kick-off 18:45 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Baltika 20.3% Draw 21.6% Dinamo Makhachkala 58.1%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dinamo Makhachkala: 9 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Baltika

L W L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Dinamo Makhachkala

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Baltika win20.3%

Draw21.6%

Dinamo Makhachkala win58.1%

Over 1.5 goals89.0%

Over 2.5 goals70.6%

Over 3.5 goals49.5%

Both teams to score67.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Draw or Away (X2)78.6%

Draw No Bet - Away73.5%

Both Halves Over 0.569.8%

Goal in Both Halves69.8%

Away Win59.1%

Home or Draw (1X)40.8%

Draw No Bet - Home26.5%

Home Win21.3%

Draw19.5%

Exactly 1 Goal9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.8%

Over 2.5 Goals70.5%

Under 4.5 Goals69.8%

2-4 Goals57.6%

Under 3.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.5%

4+ Goals49.5%

1-3 Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.4%

Over 4.5 Goals30.2%

Under 2.5 Goals29.5%

1-2 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals16.2%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.0%

Home Team to Score73.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.6%

Away Clean Sheet26.2%

Away Win to Nil23.6%

Home Clean Sheet9.9%

Home Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.0%

Home Over 0.573.7%

Away Over 1.567.1%

Away Over 2.540.6%

Away 3+ Goals40.6%

Home Over 1.538.7%

Home Exactly 135.1%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 026.2%

Home Exactly 223.5%

Away Exactly 122.9%

Home Over 2.515.2%

Home 3+ Goals15.2%

Away Exactly 09.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.5%

Away to win by 121.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.1%

Away to win by 3+20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 112.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.9%

Home to win by 25.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.0%

Home to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.4%

Away & Over 2.546.2%

Away & BTTS35.5%

Away & No BTTS23.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.4%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Home & Over 2.515.5%

Home & BTTS14.0%

Away & Under 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%

Draw & Under 2.510.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Home & No BTTS7.3%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.7%

HT Under 1.551.1%

HT Over 1.548.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT Away Win45.5%

HT/FT Away/Away38.8%

HT Draw33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score29.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Home Win21.0%

HT Under 0.519.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.5%

HT/FT Home/Home12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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