Russia · Premier League

Baltika vs Dynamo

Kick-off 18:45 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)

72% confidence

Baltika 7.0% Draw 21.0% Dynamo 72.0%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

High away win chance

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 68%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Team to Score

Dynamo scoring form

85%

Over 1.5 Goals

Recent goal trends

67%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Baltika is in poor form with 4 consecutive losses, while Dynamo has a strong record with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 matches. Dynamo's attacking threat is significant, with an expected goals rate of 1.875. The head-to-head history also favors Dynamo, having won the last meeting between the two teams. The pi-ratings differential of 0.08 also suggests Dynamo is the stronger team.

💡

Top Tip

Draw or Away is the strongest pick due to Dynamo's high win chance and Baltika's struggles

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 93% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 7.0% on the only losing outcome.

High away win chance

Recent form leans to Dynamo: 0 points versus 8 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Draw or Away (X2)

X2 · Draw or Away

93%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

Only the uncovered result loses

Bookmaker implied chance

68%

Market does not fully agree

Baltika

L L L L

Form 0-0-4 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Dynamo

D W W D

Form 2-2-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 0.75

Head to head · last 1

Baltika 0wins ·0 draws ·Dynamo 1wins

Baltika 1-2 DynamoMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Baltika win7.0%

Draw21.0%

Dynamo win72.0%

Over 1.5 goals68.1%

Over 2.5 goals40.3%

Over 3.5 goals20.2%

Both teams to score30.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.3%

Draw No Bet - Away90.4%

Home or Away (12)80.2%

Away Win72.5%

Both Halves Over 0.546.4%

Goal in Both Halves46.4%

Home or Draw (1X)27.5%

Exactly 1 Goal23.0%

Draw19.8%

Draw No Bet - Home9.6%

Home Win7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.0%

Under 4.5 Goals91.6%

Over 0.5 Goals90.0%

Under 3.5 Goals79.8%

1-3 Goals69.8%

Over 1.5 Goals67.0%

Under 2.5 Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals49.5%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals40.5%

Under 1.5 Goals33.0%

3-4 Goals32.1%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.2%

4+ Goals20.2%

Under 0.5 Goals10.0%

Exactly 0 Goals10.0%

Over 4.5 Goals8.4%

Over 5.5 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.4%

Away Clean Sheet65.0%

Away Win to Nil55.0%

Home Team to Score35.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.6%

Home Clean Sheet15.3%

Home Win to Nil5.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.6%

Home Exactly 065.0%

Away Over 1.555.9%

Home Over 0.535.0%

Away Over 2.528.9%

Away 3+ Goals28.9%

Away Exactly 128.8%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 015.3%

Home Over 1.57.0%

Home Exactly 26.0%

Home Over 2.51.0%

Home 3+ Goals1.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)72.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home54.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away45.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.3%

Away to win by 127.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw22.7%

Away to win by 222.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.5%

Away to win by 3+22.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 16.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.2%

Home to win by 21.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS55.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.551.4%

Away & Over 2.536.3%

Away & Under 2.536.2%

BTTS & Over 2.521.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.0%

Draw & Under 2.518.0%

Away & BTTS17.5%

Draw & BTTS9.8%

BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

Home & No BTTS5.4%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Over 2.52.4%

Home & BTTS2.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.2%

HT Over 0.564.6%

HT Away Win50.3%

HT/FT Away/Away47.5%

2nd Half More Goals41.6%

HT Draw41.5%

HT Under 0.535.4%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half28.1%

HT Over 1.527.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away23.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.7%

HT Both Teams Score10.0%

HT Home Win8.2%

HT/FT Home/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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