Russia · Premier League

Baltika vs FC Rostov

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Baltika 19.5% Draw 20.2% FC Rostov 60.3%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Baltika: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Baltika

L W L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Baltika win19.5%

Draw20.2%

FC Rostov win60.3%

Over 1.5 goals91.1%

Over 2.5 goals74.8%

Over 3.5 goals54.8%

Both teams to score70.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.7%

Away Over 0.5

91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Draw or Away (X2)79.4%

Draw No Bet - Away74.9%

Both Halves Over 0.573.1%

Goal in Both Halves73.1%

Away Win61.1%

Home or Draw (1X)38.8%

Draw No Bet - Home25.1%

Home Win20.4%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.0%

Under 5.5 Goals80.0%

Over 2.5 Goals74.7%

Under 4.5 Goals64.8%

Over 3.5 Goals54.8%

4+ Goals54.8%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.2%

1-3 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Over 4.5 Goals35.2%

Under 2.5 Goals25.3%

1-2 Goals23.2%

Over 5.5 Goals20.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.7%

Home Team to Score75.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.7%

Away Clean Sheet24.3%

Away Win to Nil22.3%

Home Clean Sheet8.2%

Home Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.7%

Home Over 0.575.5%

Away Over 1.571.1%

Away Over 2.545.5%

Away 3+ Goals45.5%

Home Over 1.541.2%

Home Exactly 134.4%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 024.3%

Home Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 120.5%

Home Over 2.516.9%

Home 3+ Goals16.9%

Away Exactly 08.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.5%

Away to win by 3+22.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.9%

Away to win by 120.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 25.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.0%

Home to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.3%

Away & Over 2.549.8%

Away & BTTS38.7%

Away & No BTTS22.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.1%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Home & Over 2.515.6%

Home & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Home & No BTTS6.2%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT Under 1.547.5%

HT Away Win47.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT/FT Away/Away40.7%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw31.9%

HT Both Teams Score31.7%

HT Home Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.3%

HT/FT Home/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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