Russia · Premier League

Baltika vs Lokomotiv

Kick-off 18:45 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Baltika 53.5% Draw 23.8% Lokomotiv 22.7%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Baltika: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Baltika

W L W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Baltika 0wins ·0 draws ·Lokomotiv 1wins

Baltika 0-1 LokomotivMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Baltika win53.5%

Draw23.8%

Lokomotiv win22.7%

Over 1.5 goals85.6%

Over 2.5 goals64.5%

Over 3.5 goals42.5%

Both teams to score64.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.1%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.6%

Home or Draw (1X)76.1%

Draw No Bet - Home69.6%

Both Halves Over 0.565.1%

Goal in Both Halves65.1%

Home Win54.7%

Draw or Away (X2)45.2%

Draw No Bet - Away30.4%

Away Win23.9%

Draw21.4%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals75.9%

Over 2.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.6%

1-3 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.4%

4+ Goals42.4%

2-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.5%

1-2 Goals31.9%

Over 4.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.9%

Under 1.5 Goals15.6%

Over 5.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.9%

Away Team to Score72.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.1%

Home Clean Sheet27.6%

Home Win to Nil24.0%

Away Clean Sheet13.0%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.9%

Away Over 0.572.3%

Home Over 1.560.4%

Away Over 1.536.8%

Away Exactly 135.5%

Home Over 2.533.3%

Home 3+ Goals33.3%

Away Exactly 027.6%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.6%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Away Over 2.514.0%

Away 3+ Goals14.0%

Home Exactly 013.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 122.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.0%

Home to win by 3+16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.2%

Away to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.5%

Home & Over 2.539.9%

Home & BTTS30.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.0%

Home & No BTTS24.0%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Away & Over 2.516.3%

Home & Under 2.514.8%

Away & BTTS14.4%

Draw & Under 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Away & Under 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.6%

HT Under 1.555.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.544.1%

HT Home Win41.9%

HT Draw36.0%

HT/FT Home/Home35.0%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score26.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.4%

HT Away Win22.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT/FT Away/Away13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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