England · League Cup

Barnsley vs Crewe

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Barnsley 20.2% Draw 24.1% Crewe 55.7%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Barnsley

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Crewe

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:1 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Barnsley win20.2%

Draw24.1%

Crewe win55.7%

Over 1.5 goals83.5%

Over 2.5 goals60.9%

Over 3.5 goals38.6%

Both teams to score60.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.8%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.5%

Draw or Away (X2)78.5%

Draw No Bet - Away72.7%

Both Halves Over 0.562.4%

Goal in Both Halves62.4%

Away Win57.0%

Home or Draw (1X)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Home27.3%

Home Win21.5%

Draw21.5%

Exactly 1 Goal13.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals90.0%

Over 1.5 Goals82.2%

Under 4.5 Goals79.0%

Under 3.5 Goals61.4%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.9%

1-3 Goals57.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.1%

Over 3.5 Goals38.6%

4+ Goals38.6%

1-2 Goals34.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.0%

Under 1.5 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.4%

Home Team to Score68.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.9%

Away Clean Sheet31.7%

Away Win to Nil27.4%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Home Win to Nil9.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.4%

Home Over 0.568.3%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 2.532.3%

Away 3+ Goals32.3%

Home Over 1.531.9%

Home Exactly 031.7%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Home Over 2.511.0%

Home 3+ Goals11.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 123.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 217.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.7%

Away to win by 3+16.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 25.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.2%

Away & Over 2.539.9%

Away & BTTS29.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.2%

Away & No BTTS27.4%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & Under 2.517.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.1%

Home & Over 2.513.7%

Home & BTTS12.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Home & No BTTS9.2%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.8%

HT Under 1.558.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Away Win42.9%

HT Over 1.541.4%

HT Draw36.9%

HT/FT Away/Away36.5%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.2%

HT Both Teams Score24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT Home Win20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.2%

HT/FT Home/Home12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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