Turkey · Süper Lig

Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK

Kick-off 17:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Başakşehir 75.4% Draw 12.7% Gaziantep FK 11.9%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Başakşehir: 10 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.07 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Başakşehir

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Gaziantep FK

W D L L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1.8

Head to head · last 1

Başakşehir 1wins ·0 draws ·Gaziantep FK 0wins

Başakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FKMay 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Başakşehir win75.4%

Draw12.7%

Gaziantep FK win11.9%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.5%

Over 3.5 goals78.6%

Both teams to score79.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.1%

Home Over 1.5

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.7%

Goal in Both Halves86.7%

Home or Away (12)86.6%

Home or Draw (1X)86.4%

Draw No Bet - Home86.1%

Home Win74.6%

Draw or Away (X2)23.9%

Draw No Bet - Away13.9%

Away Win12.1%

Draw11.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.6%

Over 2.5 Goals89.1%

Over 3.5 Goals77.4%

4+ Goals77.4%

Over 4.5 Goals61.5%

Under 5.5 Goals55.7%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Over 5.5 Goals44.3%

Under 4.5 Goals38.5%

2-4 Goals34.1%

3-4 Goals27.6%

Under 3.5 Goals22.6%

1-3 Goals20.6%

2-3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.7%

Under 2.5 Goals10.9%

1-2 Goals8.9%

Exactly 2 Goals6.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score79.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.5%

Home Clean Sheet19.1%

Home Win to Nil18.7%

Away Clean Sheet2.3%

Away Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.6%

Away Over 0.579.3%

Home Over 2.571.3%

Home 3+ Goals71.3%

Away Over 1.548.0%

Away Exactly 131.3%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Away Over 2.522.3%

Away 3+ Goals22.3%

Away Exactly 019.1%

Home Exactly 216.3%

Home Exactly 18.6%

Home Exactly 02.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.0%

Home to win by 3+41.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 116.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 16.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.8%

Home & Over 2.569.7%

Home & BTTS55.9%

Home & No BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.3%

Draw & BTTS11.4%

Away & Over 2.510.7%

Away & BTTS10.2%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Away & No BTTS1.8%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.3%

HT Over 1.570.0%

HT Home Win60.5%

HT/FT Home/Home55.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT Both Teams Score42.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.0%

HT Draw23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.1%

HT Away Win15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.2%

HT Under 0.58.7%

HT/FT Away/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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