Turkey · Süper Lig

Başakşehir vs Samsunspor

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

69% confidence

Başakşehir 69.1% Draw 12.7% Samsunspor 18.2%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Başakşehir win at 69.1%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Başakşehir: 10 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.87 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Başakşehir win

69.1%

1X2 model probability

Draw

12.7%

1X2 model probability

Samsunspor win

18.2%

1X2 model probability

Başakşehir

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Samsunspor

L D W L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 2.2 Conceded/game 2.2

Head to head · last 1

Başakşehir 1wins ·0 draws ·Samsunspor 0wins

Başakşehir 3-0 SamsunsporMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Başakşehir win69.1%

Draw12.7%

Samsunspor win18.2%

Over 1.5 goals99.4%

Over 2.5 goals97.1%

Over 3.5 goals91.9%

Both teams to score91.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.9%

Goal in Both Halves93.9%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Draw No Bet - Home79.0%

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Home Win66.3%

Draw or Away (X2)29.5%

Draw No Bet - Away21.0%

Away Win17.6%

Draw11.9%

Exactly 1 Goal0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.0%

Over 3.5 Goals88.1%

4+ Goals88.1%

Over 4.5 Goals79.2%

Over 5.5 Goals66.7%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals33.3%

Under 4.5 Goals20.8%

2-4 Goals15.9%

3-4 Goals13.8%

Under 3.5 Goals11.9%

1-3 Goals7.7%

2-3 Goals7.1%

Under 2.5 Goals7.0%

Exactly 3 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals2.7%

Exactly 2 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.7%

Away Team to Score88.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.5%

Home Clean Sheet7.3%

Home Win to Nil7.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.7%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Away Over 0.588.5%

Home Over 2.578.5%

Home 3+ Goals78.5%

Away Over 1.569.7%

Away Over 2.545.5%

Away 3+ Goals45.5%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 118.8%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 07.3%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away59.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.6%

Home to win by 3+36.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.3%

Away to win by 18.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.3%

Away to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.5%

Home & Over 2.565.1%

Home & BTTS59.1%

Away & Over 2.517.1%

Away & BTTS16.6%

Draw & BTTS11.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Home & No BTTS7.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Home & Under 2.51.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.1%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.8%

HT Over 1.582.7%

HT Both Teams Score59.6%

HT Home Win57.3%

2nd Half More Goals52.8%

HT/FT Home/Home50.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.3%

HT Away Win21.3%

HT Under 1.517.3%

Equal Goals Each Half14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Away/Away10.6%

HT/FT Away/Home6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT Under 0.54.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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