Germany · Bundesliga

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Aug 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Bayern München 76.8% Draw 12.6% VfB Stuttgart 9.7%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Bayern München win at 76.8%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bayern München: 16 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 6.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Bayern München win

76.8%

1X2 model probability

Draw

12.6%

1X2 model probability

VfB Stuttgart win

9.7%

1X2 model probability

Bayern München

W W D W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 22:9 Scored/game 3.67 Conceded/game 1.5

VfB Stuttgart

D W D D L W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:11 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 4

Bayern München 4wins ·0 draws ·VfB Stuttgart 0wins

Bayern München 4-2 VfB StuttgartApr 19, 2026

Bayern München 5-0 VfB StuttgartDec 6, 2025

Bayern München 3-1 VfB StuttgartFeb 28, 2025

Bayern München 4-0 VfB StuttgartOct 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Bayern München win76.8%

Draw12.6%

VfB Stuttgart win9.7%

Over 1.5 goals94.0%

Over 2.5 goals98.6%

Over 3.5 goals67.3%

Both teams to score96.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.4%

Goal in Both Halves93.4%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Home or Draw (1X)77.6%

Draw No Bet - Home77.4%

Home Win65.0%

Draw or Away (X2)31.6%

Draw No Bet - Away22.6%

Away Win19.0%

Draw12.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals93.4%

Over 3.5 Goals87.9%

4+ Goals87.9%

Over 4.5 Goals78.3%

Over 5.5 Goals65.2%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 5.5 Goals34.8%

Under 4.5 Goals21.7%

2-4 Goals17.5%

3-4 Goals15.1%

Under 3.5 Goals12.1%

1-3 Goals8.6%

2-3 Goals7.9%

Under 2.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 3 Goals5.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals3.1%

Exactly 2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score89.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.0%

Home Clean Sheet7.4%

Home Win to Nil7.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 2.577.2%

Home 3+ Goals77.2%

Away Over 1.570.1%

Away Over 2.545.7%

Away 3+ Goals45.7%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 119.0%

Home Exactly 212.4%

Away Exactly 07.4%

Home Exactly 15.7%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.7%

Home to win by 3+34.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 215.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 18.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 25.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.7%

Away to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.8%

Home & Over 2.563.6%

Home & BTTS57.7%

Away & Over 2.518.4%

Away & BTTS17.8%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

Home & No BTTS7.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.2%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.5%

HT Over 1.581.5%

HT Both Teams Score58.7%

HT Home Win55.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.6%

HT/FT Home/Home48.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win22.3%

HT Draw21.9%

HT Under 1.518.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Away/Away11.5%

HT/FT Away/Home6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT Under 0.54.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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