Italy · Serie B

Benevento vs Avellino

Kick-off 19:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Benevento 69.4% Draw 24.1% Avellino 6.5%

Over 2.5 - 34% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

94%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 21.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

21.6%

Exact-score model probability

Benevento

No recent results stored yet

Avellino

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Benevento win69.4%

Draw24.1%

Avellino win6.5%

Over 1.5 goals61.9%

Over 2.5 goals33.8%

Over 3.5 goals15.3%

Both teams to score26.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

90.4%

Over 0.5 Goals

87.2%

Under 3.5 Goals

84.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.5%

Draw No Bet - Home90.4%

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Home Win70.4%

Both Halves Over 0.540.8%

Goal in Both Halves40.8%

Draw or Away (X2)29.6%

Exactly 1 Goal26.3%

Draw22.1%

Draw No Bet - Away9.6%

Away Win7.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.1%

Under 4.5 Goals94.2%

Over 0.5 Goals87.2%

Under 3.5 Goals84.7%

1-3 Goals71.9%

Under 2.5 Goals66.2%

Over 1.5 Goals60.8%

2-4 Goals55.1%

1-2 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-3 Goals45.6%

Under 1.5 Goals39.2%

Over 2.5 Goals33.8%

3-4 Goals28.0%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.5%

Over 3.5 Goals15.3%

4+ Goals15.3%

Under 0.5 Goals12.8%

Exactly 0 Goals12.8%

Over 4.5 Goals5.8%

Over 5.5 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.0%

Home Clean Sheet69.3%

Home Win to Nil56.5%

Away Team to Score30.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)25.0%

Away Clean Sheet18.5%

Away Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.5%

Away Exactly 069.3%

Home Over 1.550.3%

Home Exactly 131.2%

Away Over 0.530.7%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 125.4%

Home Over 2.523.9%

Home 3+ Goals23.9%

Home Exactly 018.5%

Away Over 1.55.3%

Away Exactly 24.7%

Away Over 2.50.6%

Away 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw29.1%

Home to win by 129.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 222.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.0%

Home to win by 3+19.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 16.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.558.3%

Home & No BTTS56.5%

Home & Under 2.539.9%

Home & Over 2.530.5%

Draw & Under 2.520.8%

BTTS & Over 2.517.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.7%

Home & BTTS14.0%

Draw & BTTS9.3%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS5.7%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

Away & Over 2.51.9%

Away & BTTS1.8%

Draw & Over 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.576.4%

HT Over 0.560.3%

HT Home Win47.6%

HT/FT Home/Home45.0%

HT Draw44.8%

2nd Half More Goals40.2%

HT Under 0.539.7%

Equal Goals Each Half30.1%

1st Half More Goals29.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home24.0%

HT Over 1.523.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.3%

HT Both Teams Score8.1%

HT Away Win7.6%

HT/FT Away/Away3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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