Italy · Serie B

Benevento vs Cesena

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Benevento 56.0% Draw 20.3% Cesena 23.7%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Benevento

No recent results stored yet

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Benevento win56.0%

Draw20.3%

Cesena win23.7%

Over 1.5 goals92.9%

Over 2.5 goals78.7%

Over 3.5 goals60.0%

Both teams to score75.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Both Halves Over 0.576.3%

Goal in Both Halves76.3%

Home or Draw (1X)75.4%

Draw No Bet - Home69.9%

Home Win56.8%

Draw or Away (X2)43.1%

Draw No Bet - Away30.1%

Away Win24.4%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal6.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals78.6%

Under 5.5 Goals75.8%

Over 3.5 Goals60.0%

4+ Goals60.0%

Under 4.5 Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals40.5%

Under 3.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.4%

3-4 Goals38.1%

2-3 Goals32.0%

Over 5.5 Goals24.2%

Under 2.5 Goals21.4%

1-2 Goals19.8%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.4%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

Away Team to Score80.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.7%

Home Clean Sheet19.2%

Home Win to Nil17.7%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Away Over 0.580.7%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Away Over 1.549.0%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Away Over 2.522.9%

Away 3+ Goals22.9%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Away Exactly 019.2%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.4%

Home to win by 3+20.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.0%

Away to win by 27.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.4%

Away to win by 3+4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.9%

Home & Over 2.548.0%

Home & BTTS39.1%

Away & Over 2.519.8%

Away & BTTS18.0%

Home & No BTTS17.7%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

Home & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Away & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Over 1.556.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Home Win45.0%

HT Under 1.543.9%

HT/FT Home/Home37.5%

HT Both Teams Score35.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.1%

HT Away Win23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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