Italy · Serie B

Benevento vs Hellas Verona

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Benevento 58.5% Draw 28.1% Hellas Verona 13.4%

Over 2.5 - 37% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.5%

Exact-score model probability

Benevento

No recent results stored yet

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Benevento win58.5%

Draw28.1%

Hellas Verona win13.4%

Over 1.5 goals65.6%

Over 2.5 goals37.3%

Over 3.5 goals17.7%

Both teams to score38.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

88.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

86.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.2%

Draw No Bet - Home80.1%

Home or Away (12)74.7%

Home Win59.9%

Both Halves Over 0.543.7%

Goal in Both Halves43.7%

Draw or Away (X2)40.1%

Draw25.3%

Exactly 1 Goal24.6%

Draw No Bet - Away19.9%

Away Win14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.6%

Under 4.5 Goals92.9%

Over 0.5 Goals88.7%

Under 3.5 Goals82.3%

1-3 Goals71.0%

Over 1.5 Goals64.1%

Under 2.5 Goals62.7%

2-4 Goals57.1%

1-2 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.4%

Over 2.5 Goals37.3%

Under 1.5 Goals35.9%

3-4 Goals30.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Over 3.5 Goals17.7%

4+ Goals17.7%

Under 0.5 Goals11.3%

Exactly 0 Goals11.3%

Over 4.5 Goals7.1%

Over 5.5 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.2%

Home Clean Sheet53.4%

Away Team to Score46.6%

Home Win to Nil42.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.8%

Away Clean Sheet21.1%

Away Win to Nil9.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.9%

Away Exactly 053.4%

Away Over 0.546.6%

Home Over 1.546.1%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Home Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 021.1%

Home Over 2.520.5%

Home 3+ Goals20.5%

Away Over 1.513.1%

Away Exactly 210.5%

Away Over 2.52.6%

Away 3+ Goals2.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.6%

Home to win by 127.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.6%

Home to win by 3+13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 111.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.551.7%

Home & No BTTS42.1%

Home & Under 2.531.2%

Home & Over 2.528.7%

BTTS & Over 2.525.8%

Draw & Under 2.522.3%

Home & BTTS17.8%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

Away & No BTTS9.8%

Away & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Over 2.55.6%

Away & BTTS5.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.574.2%

HT Over 0.562.6%

HT Draw45.2%

HT Home Win41.4%

2nd Half More Goals41.0%

HT Under 0.537.4%

HT/FT Home/Home37.1%

1st Half More Goals30.0%

Equal Goals Each Half29.0%

HT Over 1.525.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.9%

HT Away Win13.4%

HT Both Teams Score12.4%

HT/FT Away/Away7.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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