Italy · Serie B

Benevento vs Modena

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Benevento 47.4% Draw 32.6% Modena 20.0%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 39%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.2%

Exact-score model probability

Benevento

No recent results stored yet

Modena

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Benevento win47.4%

Draw32.6%

Modena win20.0%

Over 1.5 goals61.0%

Over 2.5 goals32.3%

Over 3.5 goals14.3%

Both teams to score38.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.4%

Home or Away (12)70.6%

Draw No Bet - Home69.5%

Draw or Away (X2)50.9%

Home Win49.1%

Both Halves Over 0.539.5%

Goal in Both Halves39.5%

Draw No Bet - Away30.5%

Draw29.4%

Exactly 1 Goal27.1%

Away Win21.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.4%

Under 4.5 Goals94.8%

Over 0.5 Goals86.4%

Under 3.5 Goals85.7%

1-3 Goals72.2%

Under 2.5 Goals67.7%

Over 1.5 Goals59.3%

1-2 Goals54.2%

2-4 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even50.9%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-3 Goals45.1%

Under 1.5 Goals40.7%

Over 2.5 Goals32.3%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

3-4 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Over 3.5 Goals14.3%

4+ Goals14.3%

Under 0.5 Goals13.6%

Exactly 0 Goals13.6%

Over 4.5 Goals5.2%

Over 5.5 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)62.7%

Away Team to Score52.0%

Home Clean Sheet48.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)37.3%

Home Win to Nil34.5%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Away Win to Nil14.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Over 0.552.0%

Away Exactly 048.0%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Over 1.516.7%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Away Exactly 212.9%

Away Over 2.53.8%

Away 3+ Goals3.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.4%

Home to win by 126.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 115.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.0%

Home to win by 3+8.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 24.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.555.1%

Home & No BTTS34.5%

Home & Under 2.528.0%

Draw & Under 2.526.1%

BTTS & Over 2.524.7%

Home & Over 2.521.1%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Away & No BTTS14.7%

Home & BTTS14.6%

Away & Under 2.513.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

Away & Over 2.58.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Away & BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.577.3%

HT Over 0.559.3%

HT Draw48.7%

HT Under 0.540.7%

2nd Half More Goals39.9%

HT Home Win33.9%

Equal Goals Each Half30.7%

1st Half More Goals29.4%

HT/FT Home/Home28.9%

HT Over 1.522.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Away Win17.4%

HT Both Teams Score12.2%

HT/FT Away/Away11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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