Italy · Serie B

Benevento vs Sudtirol

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Benevento 36.8% Draw 49.1% Sudtirol 14.1%

Over 2.5 - 7% BTTS - 13%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 39.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

39.3%

Exact-score model probability

Benevento

No recent results stored yet

Sudtirol

D D D L

Form 0-3-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Benevento win36.8%

Draw49.1%

Sudtirol win14.1%

Over 1.5 goals24.9%

Over 2.5 goals6.8%

Over 3.5 goals1.5%

Both teams to score13.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Draw No Bet - Home71.5%

Draw or Away (X2)62.2%

Home or Away (12)52.8%

Draw47.2%

Home Win37.8%

Exactly 1 Goal36.7%

Draw No Bet - Away28.5%

Away Win15.0%

Both Halves Over 0.513.8%

Goal in Both Halves13.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.7%

Under 3.5 Goals98.5%

Under 2.5 Goals93.2%

Under 1.5 Goals76.0%

Over 0.5 Goals60.7%

1-3 Goals59.1%

Total Goals Even57.7%

1-2 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Odd42.3%

Under 0.5 Goals39.3%

Exactly 0 Goals39.3%

Over 1.5 Goals24.0%

2-4 Goals23.7%

2-3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 2.5 Goals6.8%

3-4 Goals6.6%

Exactly 3 Goals5.3%

Over 3.5 Goals1.5%

4+ Goals1.5%

Over 4.5 Goals0.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)87.8%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Clean Sheet53.1%

Home Team to Score46.9%

Home Win to Nil34.7%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Away Win to Nil13.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)12.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Exactly 053.1%

Home Over 0.546.9%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 1.513.3%

Home Exactly 210.6%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.52.7%

Home 3+ Goals2.7%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.3%

Home to win by 127.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.1%

Home to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.585.7%

Draw & Under 2.546.8%

Home & No BTTS34.7%

Home & Under 2.532.8%

Away & No BTTS13.8%

Away & Under 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS7.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Over 2.55.0%

BTTS & Over 2.54.7%

Home & BTTS3.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.2%

Away & Over 2.51.5%

Away & BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.593.3%

HT Draw68.3%

HT Under 0.565.7%

Equal Goals Each Half48.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw43.2%

HT Over 0.534.3%

2nd Half More Goals29.1%

1st Half More Goals22.7%

HT Home Win22.1%

HT/FT Home/Home19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT Away Win9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Away/Away7.3%

HT Over 1.56.7%

HT Both Teams Score3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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