Portugal · Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Academico Viseu

Kick-off 20:30 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Benfica 89.0% Draw 7.3% Academico Viseu 3.7%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Benfica

W W L W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 19:8 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Academico Viseu

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Benfica win89.0%

Draw7.3%

Academico Viseu win3.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.6%

Over 3.5 goals76.9%

Both teams to score63.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.8%

Home or Away (12)

90.4%

Home Over 1.5

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.7%

Home or Draw (1X)92.9%

Home or Away (12)90.4%

Home Win86.5%

Both Halves Over 0.586.0%

Goal in Both Halves86.0%

Draw or Away (X2)10.4%

Draw6.5%

Draw No Bet - Away4.3%

Away Win3.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals86.8%

Over 3.5 Goals74.4%

4+ Goals74.4%

Under 5.5 Goals59.3%

Over 4.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Under 4.5 Goals41.9%

Over 5.5 Goals40.7%

2-4 Goals35.6%

3-4 Goals28.7%

Under 3.5 Goals25.6%

1-3 Goals21.9%

2-3 Goals19.3%

Under 2.5 Goals13.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.3%

1-2 Goals9.6%

Exactly 2 Goals7.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score61.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.2%

Home Clean Sheet35.2%

Home Win to Nil34.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.4%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Home Over 2.577.1%

Home 3+ Goals77.1%

Away Over 0.561.6%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 035.2%

Away Over 1.526.0%

Away Exactly 218.0%

Home Exactly 212.5%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Home Exactly 15.8%

Home Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home74.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)71.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away71.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home58.8%

Home to win by 3+58.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away55.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home41.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away38.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home25.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away22.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home13.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 111.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.8%

BTTS & Over 2.558.6%

Home & BTTS51.8%

Home & No BTTS34.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & BTTS6.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.8%

Away & Over 2.53.2%

Away & BTTS3.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.6%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.8%

HT Home Win73.0%

HT/FT Home/Home70.7%

HT Over 1.568.9%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score31.3%

HT Under 1.531.1%

HT Draw19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT Under 0.59.2%

HT Away Win7.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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