Turkey · Süper Lig

Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir

Kick-off 17:00 · Mon, Oct 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

Beşiktaş 90.2% Draw 6.8% Başakşehir 3.0%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

90%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 15 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Beşiktaş

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

Başakşehir

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Beşiktaş win90.2%

Draw6.8%

Başakşehir win3.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.2%

Over 2.5 goals87.3%

Over 3.5 goals72.9%

Both teams to score56.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.3%

HT Over 0.5

89.5%

Home Over 1.5

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.5%

Home or Draw (1X)94.2%

Home or Away (12)91.3%

Home Win88.1%

Both Halves Over 0.583.8%

Goal in Both Halves83.8%

Draw or Away (X2)9.2%

Draw6.0%

Draw No Bet - Away3.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Away Win3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.3%

Over 2.5 Goals84.9%

Over 3.5 Goals71.0%

4+ Goals71.0%

Under 5.5 Goals64.1%

Over 4.5 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

Under 4.5 Goals46.5%

2-4 Goals39.8%

Over 5.5 Goals35.9%

3-4 Goals31.5%

Under 3.5 Goals29.0%

1-3 Goals25.7%

2-3 Goals22.3%

Under 2.5 Goals15.1%

Exactly 3 Goals14.0%

1-2 Goals11.7%

Exactly 2 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score55.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.6%

Home Clean Sheet42.0%

Home Win to Nil41.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.5%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.589.3%

Home Over 2.575.9%

Home 3+ Goals75.9%

Away Over 0.555.3%

Away Exactly 042.0%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Away Over 1.520.0%

Away Exactly 214.8%

Home Exactly 213.4%

Home Exactly 16.4%

Away Over 2.55.2%

Away 3+ Goals5.2%

Home Exactly 01.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home76.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)71.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away71.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home60.3%

Home to win by 3+60.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away55.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home42.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)37.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away37.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home25.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home13.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 111.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.3%

Away to win by 12.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 20.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.5%

BTTS & Over 2.552.1%

Home & BTTS46.8%

Home & No BTTS41.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.532.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.58.6%

Draw & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Over 2.52.4%

Away & BTTS2.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.5%

HT Home Win74.0%

HT/FT Home/Home72.1%

HT Over 1.565.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Under 1.534.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score26.7%

HT Draw19.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.3%

HT Under 0.510.5%

HT Away Win6.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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