Turkey · Süper Lig

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK

Kick-off 19:30 · Mon, Aug 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Beşiktaş 81.6% Draw 12.2% Çorum FK 6.2%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Beşiktaş

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 8:1 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.17

Çorum FK

Form 0-1-0 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Beşiktaş win81.6%

Draw12.2%

Çorum FK win6.2%

Over 1.5 goals92.1%

Over 2.5 goals77.5%

Over 3.5 goals58.3%

Both teams to score56.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.0%

Home or Away (12)

88.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.7%

Draw No Bet - Home92.4%

Home or Away (12)88.5%

Home Win81.7%

Both Halves Over 0.575.4%

Goal in Both Halves75.4%

Draw or Away (X2)17.7%

Draw10.9%

Draw No Bet - Away7.6%

Exactly 1 Goal6.8%

Away Win6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals61.5%

Over 3.5 Goals58.0%

4+ Goals58.0%

2-4 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals42.0%

1-3 Goals39.8%

Over 4.5 Goals38.5%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals33.0%

Under 2.5 Goals23.0%

Over 5.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals13.9%

Under 1.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score58.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.2%

Home Clean Sheet41.2%

Home Win to Nil39.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.582.5%

Home Over 2.561.8%

Home 3+ Goals61.8%

Away Over 0.558.2%

Away Exactly 041.2%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Over 1.521.9%

Home Exactly 220.7%

Away Exactly 216.0%

Home Exactly 112.9%

Away Over 2.55.9%

Away 3+ Goals5.9%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.1%

Home to win by 3+44.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.8%

Away to win by 14.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.8%

BTTS & Over 2.551.1%

Home & BTTS42.2%

Home & No BTTS39.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.7%

Home & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS9.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Away & Over 2.54.6%

Away & BTTS4.4%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.2%

HT Home Win63.8%

HT/FT Home/Home60.5%

HT Over 1.555.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.0%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw26.3%

HT Both Teams Score25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Under 0.515.8%

HT Away Win9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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