UEFA Europa League

Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Beşiktaş 93.5% Draw 4.9% Crystal Palace 1.6%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 50%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

94%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 15 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Beşiktaş

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

Crystal Palace

L W D L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Beşiktaş win93.5%

Draw4.9%

Crystal Palace win1.6%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals88.6%

Over 3.5 goals75.1%

Both teams to score49.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.8%

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Home Win

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.0%

Home or Draw (1X)94.2%

Home or Away (12)91.8%

Home Win90.0%

Both Halves Over 0.585.1%

Goal in Both Halves85.1%

Draw or Away (X2)6.0%

Draw4.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Draw No Bet - Away2.0%

Away Win1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals72.1%

4+ Goals72.1%

Under 5.5 Goals62.3%

Over 4.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Under 4.5 Goals44.8%

Over 5.5 Goals37.7%

2-4 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals29.8%

Under 3.5 Goals27.9%

1-3 Goals23.4%

2-3 Goals20.5%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

1-2 Goals10.4%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.6%

Home Clean Sheet48.0%

Away Team to Score47.9%

Home Win to Nil47.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 048.0%

Away Over 0.547.9%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Away Over 1.514.7%

Away Exactly 211.5%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.53.2%

Away 3+ Goals3.2%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)90.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home80.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)78.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home66.6%

Home to win by 3+66.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away64.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home49.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away46.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home32.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away29.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away15.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 19.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away6.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 11.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.8%

Home & No BTTS47.5%

BTTS & Over 2.545.6%

Home & BTTS42.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.539.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & BTTS3.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Over 2.51.3%

Away & BTTS1.2%

Away & No BTTS0.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Home Win78.5%

HT/FT Home/Home77.2%

HT Over 1.567.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT Draw16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.0%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT Away Win4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Away/Away0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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