UEFA Europa League

Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Beşiktaş 82.4% Draw 13.5% Kauno Žalgiris 4.1%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 15%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 16 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15%

Exact-score model probability

Beşiktaş

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 8:2 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.33

Kauno Žalgiris

L L W D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Beşiktaş win82.4%

Draw13.5%

Kauno Žalgiris win4.1%

Over 1.5 goals83.1%

Over 2.5 goals61.2%

Over 3.5 goals38.8%

Both teams to score37.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)95.0%

Draw No Bet - Home94.5%

Home or Away (12)87.8%

Home Win83.0%

Both Halves Over 0.562.6%

Goal in Both Halves62.6%

Draw or Away (X2)16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.4%

Draw12.0%

Draw No Bet - Away5.5%

Away Win4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.0%

Over 1.5 Goals82.2%

Under 4.5 Goals78.9%

Under 3.5 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals61.1%

2-4 Goals61.1%

1-3 Goals56.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals38.9%

Over 3.5 Goals38.8%

4+ Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals34.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.5%

Home Clean Sheet60.5%

Home Win to Nil56.3%

Away Team to Score39.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.5%

Away Clean Sheet7.0%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.9%

Home Over 1.574.3%

Away Exactly 060.5%

Home Over 2.549.6%

Home 3+ Goals49.6%

Away Over 0.539.3%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Home Exactly 118.6%

Away Over 1.59.0%

Away Exactly 27.6%

Home Exactly 07.0%

Away Over 2.51.4%

Away 3+ Goals1.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away60.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home39.5%

Home to win by 3+39.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.9%

Home to win by 222.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 13.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.556.7%

Home & No BTTS56.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.533.1%

BTTS & Over 2.530.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.530.2%

Home & BTTS26.7%

Home & Under 2.526.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & BTTS7.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Away & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.9%

HT Home Win62.1%

HT/FT Home/Home59.7%

HT Under 1.558.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.6%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Draw31.0%

HT Under 0.524.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.1%

HT Both Teams Score14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT Away Win6.9%

HT/FT Away/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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