England · Championship

Birmingham vs Preston

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Birmingham 57.2% Draw 17.8% Preston 25.0%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Birmingham: 7 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Birmingham

W D D L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Preston

L D L L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Birmingham win57.2%

Draw17.8%

Preston win25.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.8%

Over 2.5 goals88.4%

Over 3.5 goals74.9%

Both teams to score83.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.5%

Goal in Both Halves84.5%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)74.1%

Draw No Bet - Home69.3%

Home Win57.4%

Draw or Away (X2)42.1%

Draw No Bet - Away30.7%

Away Win25.4%

Draw16.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.0%

Over 3.5 Goals74.5%

4+ Goals74.5%

Under 5.5 Goals60.1%

Over 4.5 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals42.6%

Over 5.5 Goals39.9%

2-4 Goals38.5%

3-4 Goals30.6%

Under 3.5 Goals25.5%

1-3 Goals24.4%

2-3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals12.0%

1-2 Goals11.0%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score87.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.2%

Home Clean Sheet12.5%

Home Win to Nil11.9%

Away Clean Sheet4.8%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Away Over 0.587.0%

Home Over 1.580.2%

Away Over 1.561.0%

Home Over 2.558.1%

Home 3+ Goals58.1%

Away Over 2.534.1%

Away 3+ Goals34.1%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 126.0%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 114.6%

Away Exactly 012.5%

Home Exactly 04.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.6%

Home to win by 3+23.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.3%

Away to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 27.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.7%

Away to win by 3+5.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.0%

Home & Over 2.552.8%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Away & Over 2.522.9%

Away & BTTS21.2%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.3%

Home & No BTTS11.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.0%

HT Over 1.566.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Home Win46.9%

HT Both Teams Score45.2%

HT/FT Home/Home38.9%

HT Under 1.533.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Away Win25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Away/Away15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT Under 0.510.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions